Mes Rafsanjan vs Ario Eslamshahr: match statistics
Mes Rafsanjan vs Ario Eslamshahr: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mes Rafsanjan played Ario Eslamshahr in Azadegan League (Iran). The match was played on 5 October 2026. Venue: Shohadaye Noushabad Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mes Rafsanjan: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match. Ario Eslamshahr: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mes Rafsanjan scores 0.33 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Ario Eslamshahr scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mes Rafsanjan 0%, Ario Eslamshahr 0%. Over 2.5: Mes Rafsanjan 0%, Ario Eslamshahr 33%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 23%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Mes Rafsanjan: -1.0 shots per match, Ario Eslamshahr: -1.0.
Match halves
Mes Rafsanjan: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00. Ario Eslamshahr: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Mes Rafsanjan: 31-45+ (1 goals). Ario Eslamshahr: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.57 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 23%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ario Eslamshahr have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 6 goals in that span, while Mes Rafsanjan have recorded 2 wins and scored 3 goals. The hosts, however, have a clear defensive edge: they have conceded just 1 goal over the same period, compared with 5 for the visitors. Mes have yet to concede at home, but are averaging just 0.5 goals per match and have failed to score in half of their games. Ario won their only away match so far without conceding, but such a small sample is not enough to establish an advantage. The hosts’ solid defence, combined with their low scoring output, makes a draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No: Mes Rafsanjan have not had both teams score in any of their last 5 matches, while Ario Eslamshahr have seen BTTS in 40% of their last 5 games. During this period, the hosts averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, limiting the likelihood of goals at both ends. The visitors scored more, averaging 1.2 goals, but even if they find the net, the hosts’ low scoring rate could mean that only one team scores. In addition, both teams score in 28% of league matches, making BTTS - No the more likely pick, although the visitors’ recent 40% rate means the opposite outcome cannot be ruled out entirely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The league average is 1.58 goals per match, and only 25% of games finish with at least three goals, pointing to a low-scoring outcome. Over their last five matches, Mes Rafsanjan averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, while Ario Eslamshahr averaged 1.2 and 1.0, respectively. None of the matches between the two teams included in the available statistics went over the 3.5-goal line. Therefore, with a projected total of 1.75 goals, Under 3.5 goals is the strongest pick, although the small sample size in some of the statistics warrants caution.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Ario Eslamshahr went into the break level in 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged just 0.2 goals in the first halves of those games. After the interval, the advantage shifts towards the visitors: over their last 5 matches, they averaged 1.0 goals in the second half, compared with Mes Rafsanjan’s 0.2. Ario won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.2 goals per game, while the hosts won twice and scored an average of 0.6. However, the X/2 scenario is far from certain, as Mes Rafsanjan have not conceded after the break in any of their last 5 matches, which also increases the chances of a draw at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mes Rafsanjan | Ario Eslamshahr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 0% | 0% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ario Eslamshahr is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.67 pts / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 2 pts / match - Ario Eslamshahr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ario Eslamshahr is 203% better for: goals scored per match.
0.33 goals / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 1 goals / match - Ario Eslamshahr
Mes Rafsanjan scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Ario Eslamshahr keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Ario Eslamshahr scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Mes Rafsanjan keeps a clean sheet in 100% (3 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mes Rafsanjan
Over / Under - Ario Eslamshahr
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mes Rafsanjan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ario Eslamshahr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mes Rafsanjan
Ario Eslamshahr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Mes Rafsanjan | Liga | Ario Eslamshahr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 0.33 | 1.57 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 30% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 48% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 57% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 0% | 43% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Mes Rafsanjan vs Ario Eslamshahr?
The Azadegan League match finished Mes Rafsanjan 1:0 Ario Eslamshahr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mes Rafsanjan vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Mes Rafsanjan score 0.33 goals per game on average and Ario Eslamshahr 1.00. The Azadegan League average is 1.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 23% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Mes Rafsanjan's matches and 0% of Ario Eslamshahr's.
What form are Mes Rafsanjan and Ario Eslamshahr in?
Over the last 5 games Mes Rafsanjan have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Ario Eslamshahr 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mes Rafsanjan vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mes Rafsanjan vs Ario Eslamshahr: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.