Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal: match statistics
Esteghlal appears to be the clear favorite in this match. Mes Rafsanjan sits in the last, 16th place in the table with just a 20% home win rate and an alarming record of 13 goals scored against 28 conceded throughout the season. The hosts fail to score in 70% of their home matches, rendering their attack practically helpless. Esteghlal, on the other hand, shows solid away form with 60% draws and a positive goal difference (+2), boasting significantly better offensive statistics (averaging 0.8 goals per away match compared to the hosts' 0.6). A higher average xG (1.51 vs 0) and better shooting accuracy (4 shots on target per match) further support the visitors. Considering Mes Rafsanjan's poor form and Esteghlal's stability, I expect an away win, although their tendency to draw (60% of away matches) does not rule out a share of the points.
Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mes Rafsanjan played Esteghlal in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mes Rafsanjan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Esteghlal: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mes Rafsanjan scores 0.62 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Esteghlal scores 1.20 and concedes 0.80. League average: 1.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mes Rafsanjan 29%, Esteghlal 45%. Over 2.5: Mes Rafsanjan 29%, Esteghlal 30%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Esteghlal has higher xG: 1.30 vs 0.87. Mes Rafsanjan: -0.2 shots per match, Esteghlal: 2.9.
Match halves
Mes Rafsanjan: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.33. Esteghlal: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Mes Rafsanjan: 76-90+ (4 goals). Esteghlal: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.79 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Esteghlal appears to be the clear favorite in this match. Mes Rafsanjan sits in the last, 16th place in the table with just a 20% home win rate and an alarming record of 13 goals scored against 28 conceded throughout the season. The hosts fail to score in 70% of their home matches, rendering their attack practically helpless. Esteghlal, on the other hand, shows solid away form with 60% draws and a positive goal difference (+2), boasting significantly better offensive statistics (averaging 0.8 goals per away match compared to the hosts' 0.6). A higher average xG (1.51 vs 0) and better shooting accuracy (4 shots on target per match) further support the visitors. Considering Mes Rafsanjan's poor form and Esteghlal's stability, I expect an away win, although their tendency to draw (60% of away matches) does not rule out a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mes Rafsanjan | Esteghlal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 0% | 19% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.00 | 0.45 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 2.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Esteghlal is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.6 pts / match - Esteghlal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esteghlal is 94% better for: goals scored per match.
0.62 goals / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.2 goals / match - Esteghlal
Esteghlal is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 0.8 goals / match - Esteghlal
Mes Rafsanjan scores in 38% of matches (8 of 21 matches), while Esteghlal keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Esteghlal scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Mes Rafsanjan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mes Rafsanjan
Over / Under - Esteghlal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Esteghlal is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.45 pts / match - Esteghlal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mes Rafsanjan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Esteghlal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mes Rafsanjan
Esteghlal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Mes Rafsanjan | Liga | Esteghlal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.95 | 1.79 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 41% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 62% | 63% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mes Rafsanjan 0 - 0 - 1 Esteghlal. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Mes Rafsanjan 0:1 Esteghlal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal?
Mes Rafsanjan score 0.62 goals per game on average and Esteghlal 1.20. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Mes Rafsanjan's matches and 45% of Esteghlal's.
What form are Mes Rafsanjan and Esteghlal in?
Over the last 5 games Mes Rafsanjan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Esteghlal 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal?
The statistical background for Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.