Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan: match statistics
Mes Rafsanjan are in the last 16th place in the table with a very poor record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses. The hosts struggle to score goals (11 goals this season, averaging 0.67 per home match), but they are relatively tough to beat at home - 56% clean sheets and 44% draws. Esteghlal Khuzestan show slightly better form with 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games, but away from home they win only 11% of matches with 33% draws. The visitors also have efficiency issues - 56% of their away matches end without scoring a goal, averaging just 0.56 goals per match. Considering both teams' poor efficiency, the hosts' high tendency to draw at home, and the visitors' poor away effectiveness, the most likely outcome is a draw, although the hosts have a slight home advantage.
Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mes Rafsanjan played Esteghlal Khuzestan in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mes Rafsanjan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Esteghlal Khuzestan: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mes Rafsanjan scores 0.58 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Esteghlal Khuzestan scores 0.68 and concedes 1.05. League average: 1.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mes Rafsanjan 32%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 37%. Over 2.5: Mes Rafsanjan 32%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 21%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Mes Rafsanjan has higher xG: 0.87 vs 0.86. Mes Rafsanjan: -0.2 shots per match, Esteghlal Khuzestan: 3.1.
Match halves
Mes Rafsanjan: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.32. Esteghlal Khuzestan: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.37.
Goals by minute
Mes Rafsanjan: 76-90+ (4 goals). Esteghlal Khuzestan: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mes Rafsanjan are in the last 16th place in the table with a very poor record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses. The hosts struggle to score goals (11 goals this season, averaging 0.67 per home match), but they are relatively tough to beat at home - 56% clean sheets and 44% draws. Esteghlal Khuzestan show slightly better form with 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games, but away from home they win only 11% of matches with 33% draws. The visitors also have efficiency issues - 56% of their away matches end without scoring a goal, averaging just 0.56 goals per match. Considering both teams' poor efficiency, the hosts' high tendency to draw at home, and the visitors' poor away effectiveness, the most likely outcome is a draw, although the hosts have a slight home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mes Rafsanjan | Esteghlal Khuzestan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 0% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.72 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Esteghlal Khuzestan is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.2 pts / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esteghlal Khuzestan is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
0.58 goals / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 0.68 goals / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Esteghlal Khuzestan is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.05 goals / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Mes Rafsanjan scores in 37% of matches (7 of 19 matches), while Esteghlal Khuzestan keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Esteghlal Khuzestan scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Mes Rafsanjan keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mes Rafsanjan
Over / Under - Esteghlal Khuzestan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Esteghlal Khuzestan is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.74 pts / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.05 pts / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mes Rafsanjan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Esteghlal Khuzestan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mes Rafsanjan
Esteghlal Khuzestan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Mes Rafsanjan | Liga | Esteghlal Khuzestan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.75 | • 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 38% | • 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 42% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mes Rafsanjan 0 - 0 - 1 Esteghlal Khuzestan. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Mes Rafsanjan 0:1 Esteghlal Khuzestan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Mes Rafsanjan score 0.58 goals per game on average and Esteghlal Khuzestan 0.68. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Mes Rafsanjan's matches and 37% of Esteghlal Khuzestan's.
What form are Mes Rafsanjan and Esteghlal Khuzestan in?
Over the last 5 games Mes Rafsanjan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
The statistical background for Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.