Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi: match statistics
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Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mes Rafsanjan play Fajr Sepasi in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 16:30.
Current form
Mes Rafsanjan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Fajr Sepasi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mes Rafsanjan scores 0.59 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Fajr Sepasi scores 1.09 and concedes 1.17. League average: 1.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mes Rafsanjan 27%, Fajr Sepasi 57%. Over 2.5: Mes Rafsanjan 27%, Fajr Sepasi 48%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mes Rafsanjan has higher xG: 0.87 vs 0.76. Mes Rafsanjan: -0.3 shots per match, Fajr Sepasi: 0.4.
Match halves
Mes Rafsanjan: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.32. Fajr Sepasi: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Mes Rafsanjan: 76-90+ (4 goals). Fajr Sepasi: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.79 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mes Rafsanjan | Fajr Sepasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 0% | -91% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.00 | 1.77 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fajr Sepasi is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.2 pts / match - Fajr Sepasi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fajr Sepasi is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
0.59 goals / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.09 goals / match - Fajr Sepasi
Fajr Sepasi is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.17 goals / match - Fajr Sepasi
Mes Rafsanjan scores in 36% of matches (8 of 22 matches), while Fajr Sepasi keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Fajr Sepasi scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Mes Rafsanjan keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mes Rafsanjan
Over / Under — Fajr Sepasi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fajr Sepasi is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / match - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.17 pts / match - Fajr Sepasi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mes Rafsanjan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fajr Sepasi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mes Rafsanjan
Fajr Sepasi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Mes Rafsanjan | Liga | Fajr Sepasi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.91 | 1.79 | ▲ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 27% | 28% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 41% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mes Rafsanjan 0 - 1 - 0 Fajr Sepasi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Mes Rafsanjan and Fajr Sepasi play?
Mes Rafsanjan face Fajr Sepasi on 15 March 2026 in Persian Gulf Pro League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi?
Mes Rafsanjan score 0.59 goals per game on average and Fajr Sepasi 1.09. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Mes Rafsanjan's matches and 57% of Fajr Sepasi's.
What form are Mes Rafsanjan and Fajr Sepasi in?
Over the last 5 games Mes Rafsanjan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Fajr Sepasi 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.