Metalul Buzău vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite: match statistics
Metalul Buzău vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Metalul Buzău played Muscelul Câmpulung Elite in Liga II (Romania). The match was played on 10 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Metalul Buzău: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Muscelul Câmpulung Elite: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Metalul Buzău scores 1.78 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Muscelul Câmpulung Elite scores 0.48 and concedes 2.74. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Metalul Buzău 57%, Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 26%. Over 2.5: Metalul Buzău 57%, Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 61%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Metalul Buzău has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.10. Metalul Buzău: 14.2 shots per match, Muscelul Câmpulung Elite: 9.2.
Match halves
Metalul Buzău: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.91. Muscelul Câmpulung Elite: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Metalul Buzău: 16-30 (9 goals). Muscelul Câmpulung Elite: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga II: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1) because Metalul Buzău has a clear statistical superiority: at home they score an average of 1.64 goals per match with average xG 1.97, while Muscelul score 0.17 goals on the road with xG 0.90. The hosts create significantly more chances — 15.55 average shots and 5.18 on target per home match versus 7.08 and 2.58 for the visitors — and conversion rate is 11% versus 2%, favoring Metalul’s finishing. The visitors’ defense is highly vulnerable: Muscelul concedes 3.67 goals on average away and have conceded 63 goals this season; in the last 5 matches the visitors conceded 22 goals (4.4 per match), while Metalul scored 12 in their last 5 (2.4 per match). Additionally, the visitors have no away wins and failed to score in 83% of away fixtures, which significantly reduces their chances of taking points. Considering the xG advantage, higher volume of chances and form (Metalul 1.8 pts in last 5 matches versus 0 pts for Muscelul), I assess the probability of a home win at 80%, a draw at 12% and an away upset at 8%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
At a season level Metalul Buzău has BTTS in 36% of matches, while Muscelul Câmpulung Elite only 17%, versus the league average of 48%, which gives a seasonal signal against BTTS. The visitors average 0.17 goals per match this season (11 goals) and have a shot conversion rate of 2.0%, and in the last 5 matches they scored a total of 3 goals (0.6 per match), which heavily limits their chances of scoring. The hosts have been more active offensively recently — 12 goals in 5 matches (2.4 per match), last5 xG 1.96 and 4.18 shots on target per match — while the visitors conceded an average of 4.4 goals in their last 5 matches, so the hosts are likely to be the goal scorers. Despite low clean sheet percentages (18% and 17%), the visitors’ extremely low efficiency (0.17 g/m and 2.0% conversion) makes the Both Teams To Score scenario less likely. Therefore the strongest signal from the data points to "No" and I assign it a 70% probability versus 30% for "Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Metalul has 1.34 xG per match, Muscelul 0.90 xG, while opponents against Muscelul generate on average 1.94 xG and against Metalul 1.58 xG; averaging these values yields an expected 1.64 goals for the home side and 1.24 for the visitors, i.e. a total of 2.88 goals. Seasonal indicators show over 1.5 occurs for Metalul in 73% of matches and for Muscelul in 83%, and over 2.5 in 55% and 67% of matches respectively, which together with the league average of 2.73 goals supports totals above these thresholds. In the last 5 matches Metalul had over 2.5 in 80% of games, Muscelul in 100%, and recent xG is 1.96 (Metalul) and 1.24 (Muscelul); additionally Muscelul conceded 22 goals in the last 5 matches (4.4 per match), increasing the likelihood of multiple goals. Considering this, I estimate over 1.5 at 86% and over 2.5 at 70%, while over 3.5 is less likely (34%) due to the expected sum of 2.88 goals despite Muscelul’s high goals-against rate. The strongest play signal is over 2.5 (ou_pred_side: over, ou_pred_line: 2.5), because the combined forecast of 2.88 goals and very high last5 over2.5 rates (80%/100%) provide a clear edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Metalul Buzău led at the break in 60% of their last 5 matches (3 of 5), while Muscelul did so in only 20% (1 of 5), giving the hosts the advantage for the first half. In the last 5 fixtures Metalul averaged 1.2 goals by half-time compared to 0.2 for the visitors, and after the break the hosts averaged 1.2 goals while Muscelul conceded an average of 3.2 goals in the second half. xG favors Metalul (1.34 vs 0.90), and chance-creation stats show 4.18 on-target shots for the hosts versus 2.58 for the visitors with a conversion rate of 7% vs 2%, indicating a clear advantage in front of goal. Form reinforces the favoritism: Metalul have 3 wins in their last 5 matches (LLWWW) and average 2.4 goals across those five, whereas Muscelul have lost 5 of 5 and average 0.6 goals. Consequently the strongest signal is a host lead at the break followed by a host win at full-time (HT/FT 1/1) — I assign this scenario a 48% probability, and the overall probability of a Metalul win is 71%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Metalul Buzău | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.14 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Metalul Buzău is 271% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Metalul Buzău · 0.48 goals / match - Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
Metalul Buzău is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Metalul Buzău · 2.74 goals / match - Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
Metalul Buzău scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Muscelul Câmpulung Elite keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite scores in 30% of matches (7 of 23 matches), while Metalul Buzău keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Metalul Buzău
Over / Under - Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Metalul Buzău is 244% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - Metalul Buzău · 0.48 pts / match - Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Metalul Buzău - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 3.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -14 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -15 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Metalul Buzău
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).
Teams vs league
| Metalul Buzău | Liga | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.04 | 2.73 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 48% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Metalul Buzău 1 - 0 - 0 Muscelul Câmpulung Elite. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Metalul Buzău vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite?
The Liga II match finished Metalul Buzău 1:0 Muscelul Câmpulung Elite. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Metalul Buzău vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite?
Metalul Buzău score 1.78 goals per game on average and Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 0.48. The Liga II average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Metalul Buzău's matches and 26% of Muscelul Câmpulung Elite's.
What form are Metalul Buzău and Muscelul Câmpulung Elite in?
Over the last 5 games Metalul Buzău have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metalul Buzău vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite?
The statistical background for Metalul Buzău vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.