Metta - LU vs Skanste: match statistics
Metta - LU vs Skanste: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Metta - LU played Skanste in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 4 July 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Metta - LU: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Skanste: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Metta - LU scores 3.55 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Skanste scores 1.90 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Metta - LU 55%, Skanste 50%. Over 2.5: Metta - LU 82%, Skanste 60%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Metta - LU has higher xG: 3.03 vs 1.56. Metta - LU: 21.8 shots per match, Skanste: 10.6.
Match halves
Metta - LU: half-time lead 82%, second-half goals 1.36. Skanste: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Metta - LU: 31-45+ (9 goals). Skanste: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.48 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Metta has a clear offensive and possession advantage: at home they score an average of 4.5 goals per game, take 27.33 shots of which 15.83 are on target and average 60% possession, while Skanste away average 2.2 goals with 11.75 shots and only 5 shots on target and 42% possession. The difference in quality of chances is confirmed by xG: Metta’s home xG is 3.4 versus Skanste’s away xG of 1.58, while xG against is 0.64 for the hosts and 2.14 for the visitors. Form also favours Metta – the hosts scored 23 goals in their last 5 matches and have a 4W-1D record (average 2.6 pts per game), whereas Skanste scored 9 goals in five matches with a 2-0-3 record and 1.2 pts per game. Metta is more clinical (conversion rate 16% vs 11% for Skanste), have no home matches without a goal (0%) and 50% of home games with a clean sheet; Skanste have no clean sheets away and failed to score in 40% of away matches. Considering superiority in shots, xG, efficiency and recent form, I predict a home win ('1') with approximately a 78% chance of victory, 12% for a draw and 10% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis supports BTTS - Yes. Skanste concedes an average of 2.6 goals per game this season, has xG against of 2.14 and 0% clean sheets, significantly increasing the likelihood of conceding. Metta - LU scored 23 goals in the last 5 matches (4.6 per game) and has xG of 3.39 across those five fixtures, while conceding 6 goals (1.2 per game), so they create many chances and also allow goals. Seasonal BTTS rates are 40% for Metta and 60% for Skanste, and the league records 62% of matches with Goal/Goal, further supporting the both teams to score scenario. Overall, considering Metta’s average of 1.0 goals conceded and Skanste’s clear defensive issues, I assess the probability of BTTS - Yes at 75% versus 25% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (home xG 1.54 vs xG against visitors 2.14 and away xG 1.58 vs xG against home 1.55) projects 1.84 goals for Mett - LU and 1.56 for Skanste, totaling 3.40 expected goals. Both teams have 100% of season matches with over 1.5 goals (home 100%, away 100%), and the league average is 3.51 goals per game, which strongly favors Over 1.5. Signals for the 2.5 line are moderately strong: season Over 2.5 is 40% for the home side and 80% for the away side, and the hosts’ last 5 matches are 100% Over 2.5; combined with a total xG of 3.40 this yields an estimated probability of Over 2.5 of about 66%. The 3.5 line is less convincing — season Over 3.5 is 20% (home) and 80% (away), and a Poisson model with lambda=3.40 indicates roughly a 44% chance of Over 3.5. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest and safest signal, while acknowledging that Over 2.5 has moderate value (~66%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Metta leading at the break: in their last 5 matches Metta were leading at half-time in 5 of 5 (100%) and averaged 3.5 goals by the break, while Skanste averaged only 0.25 goals by half-time in those same 5 matches. Offensive indicators are similar (xG_for 1.54 for Metta vs 1.58 for Skanste), but the visitors have more pronounced defensive issues — xG_against 2.14 and they concede on average 2.6 goals per match this season versus 1.0 conceded by Metta. Metta’s form is superior: in the last 5 fixtures they have 4 wins and 1 draw (80% wins) and average 2.6 points per game in that run, while Skanste have a 40% win rate and about 1.2 points per game. Considering Metta’s dominance before the break and Skanste’s greater susceptibility to conceding, the most likely scenario is Metta leading at half-time and Metta winning after 90 minutes (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Metta - LU | Skanste | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Metta - LU is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Metta - LU · 1.8 pts / match - Skanste
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Metta - LU is 87% better for: goals scored per match.
3.55 goals / match - Metta - LU · 1.9 goals / match - Skanste
Metta - LU is 98% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Metta - LU · 1.8 goals / match - Skanste
Metta - LU scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Skanste keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Skanste scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Metta - LU keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Metta - LU
Over / Under - Skanste
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Metta - LU is 277% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.64 pts / match - Metta - LU · 0.7 pts / match - Skanste
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Metta - LU - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 82% of matches and wins 82%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Skanste - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +11 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Metta - LU
Skanste
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Metta - LU | Liga | Skanste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.45 | 3.48 | ▲ 3.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 82% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 85% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Metta - LU vs Skanste?
The 1. Liga match finished Metta - LU 3:1 Skanste. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Metta - LU vs Skanste?
Metta - LU score 3.55 goals per game on average and Skanste 1.90. The 1. Liga average is 3.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Metta - LU's matches and 50% of Skanste's.
What form are Metta - LU and Skanste in?
Over the last 5 games Metta - LU have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Skanste 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metta - LU vs Skanste?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Metta - LU vs Skanste: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.