Metta - LU vs Smiltene: match statistics
Metta - LU vs Smiltene: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Metta - LU played Smiltene in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 8:0.
Current form
Metta - LU: 4-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Smiltene: 0-3-1, 0.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Metta - LU scores 3.25 and concedes 0.25 goals per match. Smiltene scores 1.50 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Metta - LU 25%, Smiltene 50%. Over 2.5: Metta - LU 75%, Smiltene 75%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Metta - LU has higher xG: 3.25 vs 1.30. Metta - LU: 25.5 shots per match, Smiltene: 9.8.
Match halves
Metta - LU: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.75. Smiltene: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Metta - LU: 0-15 (3 goals). Smiltene: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.46 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Metta - LU have a clear home advantage: they have won 100% of home matches, average 3.5 goals scored and 0 conceded per home game, with average xG 3.85 versus xG against 0.27. Their offensive efficiency is impressive — in the last 5 matches they recorded 5 wins and 16 goals scored, averaging 30 shots with 23 on target per home game (conversion 12%). Smiltene have no away wins (0%), score 1.5 goals on average away, but concede as many as 3.5 goals per match and have xG against 2.33; additionally in 50% of away fixtures they fail to score. Comparison of chance quality highlights the discrepancy: xG 3.85 vs 1.3, 30 shots vs 10 and 23 on target vs 5.5 in favor of Metta, which suggests many more clear chances for the hosts. In light of these numbers I predict a Metta win; I assess the probabilities as 85% home win, 10% draw and 5% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams average 1.5 goals per game this season, however Smiltene concedes 3.5 goals per match versus Metta’s 1.5. Metta is in markedly better form: in the last 5 matches they scored 16 goals (3.2 per game) and conceded only 2 (0.4 per game), with recent xG per game of 2.92 and xG against 0.85. Smiltene in the last 5 scored 7 goals (1.4 per game) and conceded 11 (2.2 per game); their recent attacking xG is 1.8 and defensive xG 2.29, and they have kept 0 clean sheets this season (0%). The league has 59% BTTS matches; Smiltene has a seasonal BTTS rate of 50% and 60% BTTS in the last 5, while Metta has 50% clean sheets overall and only 40% BTTS in the last 5. This gives an edge to the both-teams-to-score scenario despite Metta’s strong defense. Based on this I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 60% versus 40% for No Goal and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' wager.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects total expected goals at 3.90 (Metta 2.60, Smiltene 1.30), which is above the league average of 3.48 and increases the likelihood of goals. Metta is in very good form: over the last 5 matches they averaged 3.2 goals and had xG 2.92 (16 scored, 2 conceded), while Smiltene over their last 5 matches conceded an average of 2.2 goals and had xG against 2.29, and on the season they concede as much as 3.5 goals per game. Smiltene has 0% clean sheets this season; their matches have finished Over 2.5 goals in 100% of cases, and average on-target shots are 5.5 versus Metta’s 4.0 with conversion rates of 15% and 16% respectively. Based on this I estimate Over 1.5 at ~90%, Over 2.5 at ~75% and Over 3.5 at ~55%, therefore I recommend backing the over on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal from the data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal comes from the hosts’ form: Metta have won all of their last 5 matches (100% wins in the last 5) and led at the break in each of those five games (100% lead at the break), which strongly favors Metta leading at Half-Time. Half-Time goal data corroborates this — Metta average 1.6 goals by Half-Time in the last 5 matches, while Smiltene have 0.0 goals at Half-Time and concede an average of 1.5 first-half goals over the season. Metta also dominate the Full-Time picture: in the last 5 matches the hosts have averaged 3.2 goals versus 1.4 for Smiltene and conceded only 0.4 goals compared to 2.2 for their opponents (3.2 vs 1.4 and 0.4 vs 2.2). Technical indicators are, however, similar (xG 1.31 vs 1.30, shots 9.5 vs 10.0 on average), so I leave a small chance for a draw at Half-Time or a turnaround after the break; nevertheless the strongest and most sensible HT/FT pick is 1/1 (Metta leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Metta - LU | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 63% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Metta - LU is 300% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Metta - LU · 0.75 pts / match - Smiltene
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Metta - LU is 117% better for: goals scored per match.
3.25 goals / match - Metta - LU · 1.5 goals / match - Smiltene
Metta - LU is 900% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.25 goals / match - Metta - LU · 2.5 goals / match - Smiltene
Metta - LU scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Smiltene scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Metta - LU keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Metta - LU
Over / Under - Smiltene
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Metta - LU is 1100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
3 pts / match - Metta - LU · 0.25 pts / match - Smiltene
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Metta - LU - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Smiltene - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 75% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Metta - LU
Smiltene
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Metta - LU | Liga | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.50 | 3.46 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Metta - LUGoalOlivers Dzenītis
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Metta - LU vs Smiltene?
The 1. Liga match finished Metta - LU 8:0 Smiltene. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Metta - LU vs Smiltene?
Metta - LU score 3.25 goals per game on average and Smiltene 1.50. The 1. Liga average is 3.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Metta - LU's matches and 50% of Smiltene's.
What form are Metta - LU and Smiltene in?
Over the last 5 games Metta - LU have a 4-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Smiltene 0-3-1 (0.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metta - LU vs Smiltene?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.