Metz vs Brest: match statistics
Brest appear to be the favorites in this match despite their weaker away form. Metz are in 18th place in the table with just 3 wins this season and are in disastrous form – 0 wins in their last 5 matches and only 3 goals scored. The hosts struggle to score goals (FTS% 45% at home) and have the worst home record (18% win rate). Brest, on the other hand, have shown better form recently (1.6 points per match in their last 5 games vs 0.2 for Metz) with 2 wins and 2 draws. Although the visitors also have a 55% loss rate away from home, their shooting efficiency (13% conversion rate vs 9% for Metz) and better average goals (1.18 vs 0.91) give them an advantage. The difference in form between the two teams and Metz's desperate situation in the table point to an away win, although a draw is also plausible due to both teams' weaknesses.
Metz vs Brest: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Metz played Brest in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Metz: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Brest: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Metz scores 0.96 and concedes 2.26 goals per match. Brest scores 1.35 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Metz 52%, Brest 48%. Over 2.5: Metz 61%, Brest 52%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Brest has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.00. Metz: 8.8 shots per match, Brest: 11.8.
Match halves
Metz: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.57. Brest: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Metz: 76-90+ (9 goals). Brest: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brest appear to be the favorites in this match despite their weaker away form. Metz are in 18th place in the table with just 3 wins this season and are in disastrous form – 0 wins in their last 5 matches and only 3 goals scored. The hosts struggle to score goals (FTS% 45% at home) and have the worst home record (18% win rate). Brest, on the other hand, have shown better form recently (1.6 points per match in their last 5 games vs 0.2 for Metz) with 2 wins and 2 draws. Although the visitors also have a 55% loss rate away from home, their shooting efficiency (13% conversion rate vs 9% for Metz) and better average goals (1.18 vs 0.91) give them an advantage. The difference in form between the two teams and Metz's desperate situation in the table point to an away win, although a draw is also plausible due to both teams' weaknesses.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Metz | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brest is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Metz · 1.6 pts / match - Brest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brest is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Metz · 1.35 goals / match - Brest
Brest is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.26 goals / match - Metz · 1.48 goals / match - Brest
Metz scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Brest scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Metz
Over / Under - Brest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brest is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.65 pts / match - Metz · 1.35 pts / match - Brest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Metz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Brest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Metz
Brest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Metz | Liga | Brest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.22 | 2.80 | • 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 51% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Metz 0 - 0 - 1 Brest. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Metz vs Brest?
The Ligue 1 match finished Metz 0:1 Brest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Metz vs Brest?
Metz score 0.96 goals per game on average and Brest 1.35. The Ligue 1 average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Metz's matches and 48% of Brest's.
What form are Metz and Brest in?
Over the last 5 games Metz have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Brest 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metz vs Brest?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Metz vs Brest: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.