Metz vs Monaco: match statistics
Metz vs Monaco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Metz played Monaco in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Metz: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Monaco: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Metz scores 1.00 and concedes 2.26 goals per match. Monaco scores 1.74 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Metz 52%, Monaco 65%. Over 2.5: Metz 61%, Monaco 65%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Monaco has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.11. Metz: 9.8 shots per match, Monaco: 12.3.
Match halves
Metz: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.55. Monaco: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Metz: 76-90+ (11 goals). Monaco: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monaco are the favorites — the visitors have 15 wins this season versus just 3 for Metz and are averaging 1.6 points per match in the last 5 fixtures compared to 0.6 for the hosts. Offensively Monaco show a clear advantage: 1.4 goals on average away versus 0.93 goals for Metz at home, a higher shot conversion rate 11% versus 8% and 4.2 shots on target per match versus 4.13, which translates to superior chance finishing. Defensively the numbers are similar — Metz concede 1.73 goals at home, Monaco 1.67 away, and both teams have conceded 10 goals in the last 5 matches, so the difference lies mainly in attacking efficiency. Additionally xG indicates Monaco generate 1.44 xG away versus 1.36 xG for Metz at home, and Metz fail to score in 47% of home games while Monaco are shut out in 33% of away matches — this further favors the visitors. Based on this I project a Monaco win; suggested probability distribution: 58% away win, 27% draw and 15% Metz win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a strong signal for BTTS - Yes: Metz has BTTS at 63% at home, Monaco 67% away, and Monaco recorded BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches (Metz 60%). Metz averages 2.06 goals scored at home with xG 1.48 and concedes 1.38 goals, while Monaco away scores 1.4 goals with xG 1.44 and concedes 1.67, indicating both sides create and allow goals. In the last 5 matches Metz averaged 1.28 xG and conceded 1.76 opponent xG, and Monaco had 1.69 xG and conceded 1.66 xG, which confirms the visitors also generate scoring opportunities. Additionally, over 2.5 rates are 69% (Metz) and 60% (Monaco), and the over2.5 + BTTS combination is 63% and 60%, increasing the likelihood of a match with goals from both sides. Considering 63% vs 67% BTTS, Monaco's 100% BTTS in the last five, and defensive vulnerabilities (Metz 70 goals conceded this season), I favor the 'Yes' scenario and estimate its probability at around 82%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Metz averages 2.06 goals scored per match, Monaco 1.40, with xG of 1.48 (Metz) and 1.44 (Monaco), indicating attacking potential on both sides. Comparing attacks vs defenses yields projected xG ≈1.56 for Metz (1.48 vs Monaco defense 1.64) and ≈1.40 for Monaco (1.44 vs Metz defense 1.35), totalling about 2.96 goals in the match. Seasonal over 2.5 rates are 69% for Metz and 60% for Monaco, and Monaco is 100% over 2.5 in the last 5 matches, further increasing the likelihood of more goals. Both teams have high BTTS: 63% (Metz) and 67% (Monaco), and in the last 5 matches both have conceded on average 2.0 goals, so a BTTS scenario and a match with at least two goals is well justified. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (seasonal 81%/67% for Metz/Monaco; forecast ≈83%); Over 2.5 also looks favorable (~72%), while Over 3.5 remains moderately likely (~55%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Metz has a strong home record: 63% home wins and an average of 2.0 points per match; they led at the break in 6 games (38%), while Monaco led at the break in only 3 (20%). Metz scores on average 0.75 goals by half-time versus Monaco’s 0.47, with xG of 1.48 against 1.44 and shot conversion of 17% versus 11% — this gives the hosts an advantage in finishing chances. After the break Metz scores on average 1.31 and concedes 0.75, whereas Monaco scores 0.93 and concedes 1.00, so a Metz lead at the break has a high likelihood of being maintained and turned into a win. A weaker factor is Metz’s form over the last 5 matches (0% wins, record 'ddlld' and 80% draws at half-time in that run), which lowers confidence and justifies a significant share of draw scenarios. Therefore the safest signal is 1/1 with a probability of 30%, with parallel chances for draws (X/X 20%, X/1 15%) and relatively low risk of turnarounds (1/2, 2/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Metz | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Monaco is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Metz · 1.6 pts / match - Monaco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monaco is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Metz · 1.74 goals / match - Monaco
Monaco is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.26 goals / match - Metz · 1.52 goals / match - Monaco
Metz scores in 58% of matches (18 of 31 matches), while Monaco keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
Monaco scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Metz
Over / Under - Monaco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monaco is 98% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.65 pts / match - Metz · 1.29 pts / match - Monaco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Metz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 10%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Monaco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Metz
Monaco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Metz | Liga | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.26 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Metz 0 - 0 - 1 Monaco. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Metz vs Monaco?
The Ligue 1 match finished Metz 1:2 Monaco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Metz vs Monaco?
Metz score 1.00 goals per game on average and Monaco 1.74. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Metz's matches and 65% of Monaco's.
What form are Metz and Monaco in?
Over the last 5 games Metz have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Monaco 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metz vs Monaco?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Metz vs Monaco: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.