Metz vs Nantes: match statistics
Metz vs Nantes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Metz play Nantes in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 17:15. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Metz: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Nantes: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Metz scores 0.94 and concedes 2.24 goals per match. Nantes scores 0.88 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Metz 50%, Nantes 45%. Over 2.5: Metz 62%, Nantes 45%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Nantes has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.13. Metz: 10.1 shots per match, Nantes: 11.3.
Match halves
Metz: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.53. Nantes: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Metz: 76-90+ (11 goals). Nantes: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Metz generate on average 11.31 shots and 3.92 on target per home match with xG 1.29, while Nantes away average 9.25 shots, 2.67 on target and xG 0.98, which indicates a home advantage in chance creation. However, Metz have scored only 3 goals in their last 5 matches and average 0.2 points per match, whereas Nantes have 5 goals and 0.6 points per match, so the visitors show slightly better form. Defensively Nantes have conceded 45 goals this season versus 60 for Metz, but away Nantes concede 1.58 goals on average (opponents’ xG 1.72), and Metz concede 1.77 at home with opponents’ xG 1.39, which shows Nantes allow higher-quality chances despite fewer total goals conceded. Considering Metz’s higher xG and greater number of shots (1.29 vs 0.98; 11.31 vs 9.25), I give a slight edge to the hosts, but their poor form (0 wins in the last 5) increases the probability of a draw or an upset. Therefore the forecast is a Metz win with probability distribution: 45% home, 30% draw, 25% Nantes.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Metz | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nantes is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Metz · 0.8 pts / match - Nantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Metz is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Metz · 0.88 goals / match - Nantes
Nantes is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.24 goals / match - Metz · 1.58 goals / match - Nantes
Metz scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
Nantes scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Metz
Over / Under — Nantes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nantes is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.65 pts / match - Metz · 1.12 pts / match - Nantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Metz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -14 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Metz
Nantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Metz | Liga | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.18 | 2.83 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Metz 1 - 0 - 0 Nantes. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Metz vs Nantes?
The Ligue 1 match finished Metz 0:0 Nantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Metz vs Nantes?
Metz score 0.94 goals per game on average and Nantes 0.88. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Metz's matches and 45% of Nantes's.
What form are Metz and Nantes in?
Over the last 5 games Metz have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Nantes 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metz vs Nantes?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.