France - Ligue 2Stade Saint-SymphorienData current as of 29 October 2026

Metz vs Pau: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Metz vs Pau: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Metz play Pau in Ligue 2 (France). The match date is 30 October 2026. Venue: Stade Saint-Symphorien.

Current form

Metz: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Pau: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Metz scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Pau scores 1.30 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Metz 80%, Pau 50%. Over 2.5: Metz 50%, Pau 40%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Pau has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.49. Metz: 13.7 shots per match, Pau: 14.4.

Match halves

Metz: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. Pau: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Metz: 76-90+ (5 goals). Pau: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 2: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.99)
(3.58)
(3.48)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.6Goals scored / match1.3
MetzPau
1.4Goals conceded / match1
MetzPau
52%Average possession49%
MetzPau
4.6Shots on target / match4.4
MetzPau

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.7Shots per match14.4
MetzPau
4.6Shots on target4.4
MetzPau
11.7%Shot conversion9%
MetzPau
52%Possession49%
MetzPau
1.49xG for1.53
MetzPau
1.56xG against1.29
MetzPau

Shooting quality

Metz: BalancedPau: Attacking
MetzPau
Accuracy (shots on target)34%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Pau is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Metz · 2.4 pts / match - Pau

Metz
LDLWD
Season result split
30% W50% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-2
1.40 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Pau
LWWWW
Season result split
50% W20% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-3
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
WDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Metz is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - Metz · 1.3 goals / match - Pau

Pau is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - Metz · 1 goals / match - Pau

Metz scoring profile: very strong

Metz scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

Pau scoring profile: very strong

Pau scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

16Goals scored (season)13
MetzPau
14Goals conceded (season)10
MetzPau
3Average goals in match2.3
MetzPau
8Goals scored (last 5)9
MetzPau
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
MetzPau

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal70%
MetzPau
50%2 goals50%
MetzPau
20%3 goals10%
MetzPau
10%4 goals0%
MetzPau

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal80%
MetzPau
30%2 goals20%
MetzPau
10%3 goals0%
MetzPau
10%4 goals0%
MetzPau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time20%
MetzPau
10%BTTS in both halves10%
MetzPau
30%Scored in both halves10%
MetzPau

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
MetzPau
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MetzPau
80%BTTS - last 560%
MetzPau

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
MetzPau
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
MetzPau
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
MetzPau

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
MetzPau
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
MetzPau
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
MetzPau

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Metz is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Metz · 1.4 pts / match - Pau

Metz - half-time state
30% leading60% draw10% trailing
Pau - half-time state
30% leading50% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.4
MetzPau
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.6
MetzPau
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
MetzPau
1.3Average goals (1st half)1
MetzPau
70%Clean sheet before half-time60%
MetzPau
50%No goal before half-time60%
MetzPau

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per match (2nd half)1.3
MetzPau
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
MetzPau
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
MetzPau
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.3
MetzPau
30%Clean sheet after half-time40%
MetzPau
40%No goal after half-time60%
MetzPau

Metz - second-half results

20% W50% D30% L
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Pau - second-half results

40% W10% D50% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Metz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Pau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Metz
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
0
4
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Pau
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Metz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Pau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).

Teams vs league

MetzLigaPau
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.68▼ 2.30
Both teams scored▲ 80%59%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%48%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 10%25%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%62%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time• 80%81%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.31
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Metz and Pau play?

Metz face Pau on 30 October 2026 in Ligue 2 at Stade Saint-Symphorien. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Metz vs Pau?

Metz score 1.60 goals per game on average and Pau 1.30. The Ligue 2 average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Metz's matches and 50% of Pau's.

What form are Metz and Pau in?

Over the last 5 games Metz have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pau 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metz vs Pau?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Metz vs Pau: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.