Mexico vs Ecuador: match statistics
Mexico vs Ecuador: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mexico played Ecuador in World Cup (International). The match was played on 1 July 2026. Venue: Estadio Banorte. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Mexico: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Ecuador: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mexico scores 2.00 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Ecuador scores 0.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mexico 0%, Ecuador 33%. Over 2.5: Mexico 33%, Ecuador 33%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Ecuador has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.23. Mexico: 11.7 shots per match, Ecuador: 15.3.
Match halves
Mexico: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.67. Ecuador: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Mexico: 46-60 (2 goals). Ecuador: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
World Cup: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Typ 1X2 after 90 minutes: 1. Mexico has real home team advantage and will play with a lot of stadium energy, but Ecuador is physically strong and awkward in duels. This is not a match where the brand or the audience will be enough to gain a quiet advantage. Our minimum pick is Mexico, but the first goal for Ecuador would completely change the dynamic. Our prediction is 40% for Mexico, 31% for draw and 29% for Ecuador. Most likely exact score: 1-0. Promotion: Mexico (55% vs 45%). Status: NOBET
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Typ BTTS: no. Mexico has a real home team advantage and will play with a lot of stadium energy, but Ecuador is physically strong and awkward in matchups. This is not a match where the brand or the audience will be enough to gain a quiet advantage. Our minimum pick is Mexico, but the first goal for Ecuador would completely change the dynamic. Control of one side and the limited volume of underdog situations are more important here, so it is more likely that at least one team will finish the match without a goal. The model gives 44% on BTTS Yes and 56% on BTTS No, with expected goals Mexico 1.20, Ecuador 0.90. Status: SMALL BET
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Typ: under 2.5. Mexico has a real home team advantage and will play with a lot of stadium energy, but Ecuador is physically strong and awkward in matchups. This is not a match where the brand or the audience will be enough to gain a quiet advantage. Our minimum pick is Mexico, but the first goal for Ecuador would completely change the dynamic. The gateway model gives 35% on Over 2.5 and 65% on Under 2.5. xG: Mexico 1.20, Ecuador 0.90, total 2.10. Most likely result: 1-0. Line 2.5 separates a controlled match from an open match. In this pair, the underlying score and the need for caution after conceding a goal for the first time are more important than the teams' branding itself. Status: BET
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Typ HT/FT: X/X. Mexico has a real home team advantage and will play with a lot of stadium energy, but Ecuador is physically strong and awkward in matchups. This is not a match where the brand or the audience will be enough to gain a quiet advantage. Our minimum pick is Mexico, but the first goal for Ecuador would completely change the dynamic. We assume a cautious start and the outcome only after one side increases the risk or the favorite finds more space. The highest model paths are X/X 22%, 1/1 19% and X/1 19%. The HT/FT spread is calibrated to our 1X2 40%–31%–29% and does not use odds. Status: NOBET
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mexico | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mexico is 126% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Mexico · 1.33 pts / match - Ecuador
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mexico is 199% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Mexico · 0.67 goals / match - Ecuador
Mexico scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Ecuador keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Ecuador scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Mexico keeps a clean sheet in 100% (3 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mexico
Over / Under - Ecuador
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mexico is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Mexico · 1 pts / match - Ecuador
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mexico - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ecuador - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mexico
Ecuador
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| Mexico | Liga | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.94 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 71% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Mexico vs Ecuador?
The World Cup match finished Mexico 2:0 Ecuador. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mexico vs Ecuador?
Mexico score 2.00 goals per game on average and Ecuador 0.67. The World Cup average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Mexico's matches and 33% of Ecuador's.
What form are Mexico and Ecuador in?
Over the last 5 games Mexico have a 3-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Ecuador 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mexico vs Ecuador?
The statistical background for Mexico vs Ecuador — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.