Miami FC II vs Hartford Athletic: match statistics
Miami FC II vs Hartford Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Miami FC II played Hartford Athletic in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Miami FC II: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match. Hartford Athletic: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Miami FC II scores 1.75 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Hartford Athletic scores 1.75 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Miami FC II 75%, Hartford Athletic 50%. Over 2.5: Miami FC II 75%, Hartford Athletic 75%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Miami FC II has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.23. Miami FC II: 11.3 shots per match, Hartford Athletic: 10.5.
Match halves
Miami FC II: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Hartford Athletic: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Miami FC II: 46-60 (3 goals). Hartford Athletic: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-4. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hartford Athletic has a clear defensive edge on the road: they concede on average 0.33 goals per game and keep clean sheets in 67% of away matches, with an away record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, so I favor the visitors. Miami FC II score on average 2.0 goals per home game, have a high conversion rate of 22% and 5 shots on target, but they also concede 1.0 goal per game and allow an average xG against of 2.36, indicating opponents create a large number of chances. Both teams have similar offensive efficiency (7 goals each this season and xG of 1.24 for Miami vs 1.20 for Hartford) and identical 1.6 points per game over the last 5 matches, yet the superior away goal difference (+4 for Hartford vs +1 for the hosts) favors Athletic. I expect a tight contest with a slight advantage to the visitors due to their defensive stability and ability to manage results away from home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Miami FC II at home has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 0% clean sheets, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, which strongly indicates matches with Goal/Goal. Hartford Athletic away has 67% clean sheets and concedes only 0.33 goals seasonally with BTTS at 33%, a strong signal against BTTS. However, in the last 5 matches Miami has 60% BTTS (avg 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded), and Hartford has 40% BTTS (1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded), so recent data favors both teams scoring. Additionally xG shows 1.32 xG for Miami and 1.81 xG allowed by Hartford away, and shots on target 3.0 vs 4.0 indicate a real potential for goals from both sides; therefore I assess BTTS - Yes at 60%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are 1.57 for Miami FC II and 1.25 for Hartford, calculated as an average 1.32 (Miami xG for) with 1.81 (Hartford xG conceded) and 1.20 (Hartford xG for) with 1.29 (Miami xG conceded), yielding a total of 2.82. Seasonal metrics show Miami with 100% of matches over 1.5 and 2.5, and Hartford with 67% of matches over 1.5 and 2.5, which together provide a strong signal for a higher goal count. In the last 5 matches both teams have combined for 13 goals (7 for the home side and 6 for the away), averaging 2.6 goals per match, which is close to the projected total of 2.82 and the league average of 2.72. Considering xG sum = 2.82 > 2.5 and seasonal 100%/67% on over 2.5, I assess Over 1.5 at approximately 90% and Over 2.5 at approximately 68%. The best line to play is Over 2.5 (ou_pred_line 2.5, ou_pred_side over), while Over 3.5 is less certain (~34%) due to conflicting seasonal signals (Miami 100% over 3.5 versus Hartford 0%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis clearly favors the visitors: Hartford averages 2.33 points per match versus 1.0 for the home side and has won 67% of fixtures compared to 0% for Miami FC II. In the last five matches the visitors led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5), while the hosts only in 20% (1 of 5), which increases the probability that Hartford will hold the lead after 45 minutes. The away side also has a strong defense — conceding an average of 0.33 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of matches, while the hosts concede 2.0 goals per game on average. Although Miami generates slightly higher xG (1.32 vs 1.2) and has a higher shot conversion rate (20% vs 16%), the points advantage and halftime statistics (average points at the break 2.0 for the visitors vs 1.0 for the hosts) lead me to conclude that Hartford will dominate the match. On this basis the most reliable HT/FT scenario is the visitors leading at half-time and winning the match (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Miami FC II | Hartford Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 56% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hartford Athletic is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.75 pts / match - Miami FC II · 2 pts / match - Hartford Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hartford Athletic is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Miami FC II · 0.75 goals / match - Hartford Athletic
Miami FC II scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Hartford Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Hartford Athletic scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Miami FC II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Miami FC II
Over / Under - Hartford Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartford Athletic is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Miami FC II · 2.5 pts / match - Hartford Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Miami FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hartford Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Miami FC II
Hartford Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Miami FC II | Liga | Hartford Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 89% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Miami FC II 0 - 0 - 4 Hartford Athletic. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Miami FC II vs Hartford Athletic?
The USL Championship match finished Miami FC II 0:0 Hartford Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Miami FC II and Hartford Athletic?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Miami FC II won 0, Hartford Athletic won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Miami FC II vs Hartford Athletic?
Miami FC II score 1.75 goals per game on average and Hartford Athletic 1.75. The USL Championship average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Miami FC II's matches and 50% of Hartford Athletic's.
What form are Miami FC II and Hartford Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Miami FC II have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Hartford Athletic 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Miami FC II vs Hartford Athletic?
The statistical background for Miami FC II vs Hartford Athletic — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.