Miami FC II vs Las Vegas Lights: match statistics
Miami FC II vs Las Vegas Lights: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Miami FC II played Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 8 August 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Miami FC II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Las Vegas Lights: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Miami FC II scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Las Vegas Lights scores 1.53 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Miami FC II 50%, Las Vegas Lights 80%. Over 2.5: Miami FC II 50%, Las Vegas Lights 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Miami FC II has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.32. Miami FC II: 11.3 shots per match, Las Vegas Lights: 10.7.
Match halves
Miami FC II: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69. Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Miami FC II: 76-90+ (5 goals). Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Miami FC II have a clear home advantage: they win 40% of their home matches, while Las Vegas Lights lose as many as 56% of their away games. The hosts average 1.80 goals and create chances worth 1.45 xG at home, while Las Vegas’ away defence allows opponents 1.56 xG and concedes an average of 2.11 goals. The visitors are, however, in better current form, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and only 1 defeat in their last five matches, with a goal difference of 8:6. During the same period, Miami scored 11 goals and conceded 7, but their home defence keeps a clean sheet in just 20% of matches, so both teams should have opportunities to score. I give the hosts a slight edge due to their superior home attacking output and Las Vegas’ weak away defence.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear, as BTTS - Yes occurred in 63% of Miami FC II’s matches this season and in as many as 89% of Las Vegas Lights’ games, compared with the league average of 55%. Las Vegas have not kept a single clean sheet and concede an average of 2.11 goals per match, which strongly supports a goal from the home side. Miami FC II have scored an average of 2.2 goals in their last five matches, while their xG stood at 1.35, identical to the visitors’, meaning both teams are creating enough scoring opportunities. The visitors score an average of 1.67 goals per match and convert 18% of their shots, while Miami FC II conceded 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches. Miami FC II’s drop to a 40% BTTS rate in their last five appearances is a risk factor, but Las Vegas’ weak defence and their 80% BTTS rate over the same period leave the BTTS - Yes scenario as the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as at least two goals were scored in 75% of Miami FC II matches and in as many as 89% of Las Vegas Lights fixtures. Las Vegas averages 1.67 goals scored but concedes 2.11 per match and has kept a clean sheet in only 11% of its appearances, which clearly favors a goal for the home side. Miami FC II have been more effective recently, scoring 2.2 goals per match in their last five fixtures, while both teams recorded at least three goals in 60% of their matches during this period. A model based on current form and average xG, with both teams recording 1.35 in their last five matches, projects approximately 2.90 total goals; therefore, the 1.5 line offers the highest probability of success.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome, as Miami FC II were level at the break in 6 of their 8 matches, or 75% of the time, while Las Vegas Lights were tied at this stage in 33% of their games. The hosts are more solid before half-time, averaging 0.88 goals scored and 0.63 conceded, whereas the visitors score just 0.56 goals and allow opponents 0.89. After the break, Miami’s advantage could increase, as Las Vegas concede an average of 1.22 goals in second halves, compared with just 0.38 conceded by the hosts. Miami’s chances of winning are also supported by their superior chance quality: their average xG stands at 1.34, while the Las Vegas defence allows opponents an xG of 1.56 and concedes an average of 2.11 goals per match. The visitors’ strong current form, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, leaves a realistic chance of HT/FT outcomes involving a Las Vegas victory, but the strongest signal points to a draw at half-time and a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Miami FC II | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Las Vegas Lights is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Miami FC II · 1.4 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Miami FC II · 1.53 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
Miami FC II is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Miami FC II · 1.73 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
Miami FC II scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Las Vegas Lights scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Miami FC II keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Miami FC II
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Miami FC II is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Miami FC II · 1.13 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Miami FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Miami FC II
Las Vegas Lights
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Miami FC II | Liga | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Miami FC II 0 - 1 - 1 Las Vegas Lights. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Miami FC II vs Las Vegas Lights?
The USL Championship match finished Miami FC II 0:1 Las Vegas Lights. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Miami FC II and Las Vegas Lights?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Miami FC II won 0, Las Vegas Lights won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Miami FC II vs Las Vegas Lights?
Miami FC II score 1.25 goals per game on average and Las Vegas Lights 1.53. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Miami FC II's matches and 80% of Las Vegas Lights's.
What form are Miami FC II and Las Vegas Lights in?
Over the last 5 games Miami FC II have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Las Vegas Lights 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Miami FC II vs Las Vegas Lights?
The statistical background for Miami FC II vs Las Vegas Lights — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.