Miami FC II vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics
Miami FC II vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Miami FC II played Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Miami FC II: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Phoenix Rising: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Miami FC II scores 1.17 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Phoenix Rising scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Miami FC II 50%, Phoenix Rising 67%. Over 2.5: Miami FC II 50%, Phoenix Rising 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.34. Miami FC II: 10.8 shots per match, Phoenix Rising: 11.0.
Match halves
Miami FC II: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Miami FC II: 46-60 (3 goals). Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Miami FC II have a strong home run: at home they record 50% wins, 50% draws and 0% losses, score on average 1.0 goals and concede 0.5 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in 50% of games. Phoenix Rising have yet to win away (0% wins) and lose 67% of their away matches, scoring just 0.67 goals and conceding 1.67 goals per away game. Miami are also more efficient with shots: 11% conversion versus Phoenix’s 6% and 4.5 shots on target per game versus 3.33 for the visitors, which — despite a similar xG (1.17 for Miami vs 1.30 for Phoenix) — gives them an edge in turning chances into goals. Over the last 5 matches the hosts average 1.8 points per game and have conceded 3 goals, while Phoenix average 1.4 points per game and have conceded 6 goals, confirming Miami’s superior form and defensive resilience. Considering the visitors’ lack of away wins, the defensive advantage (0.5 vs 1.67 conceded) and higher conversion efficiency, I back the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a high BTTS rate this season at 67% (Miami FC II 67%, Phoenix Rising 67%), and Phoenix has no clean sheets (clean sheets 0%), which strongly favors goals from both sides. Miami scores on average 2.0 goals and concedes 1.0 per game, while Phoenix has season averages of 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, but in the last 5 matches both teams scored 6 goals each (avg 1.2), and Phoenix conceded 6 goals in those 5 games. xG shows balanced chance creation: Miami xG_for 1.47 vs 1.3 for Phoenix, and xG_against 1.21 vs 1.14, and additionally Miami registers 6.0 shots on target vs 3.33 and has a higher shot conversion 18% vs 6%, suggesting the hosts will be particularly dangerous. Considering the season 67% BTTS for both teams, Phoenix's lack of clean sheets (0%), recent goal averages of 1.2 per team and Miami's edge in accuracy and xG, I estimate BTTS 'Yes' probability at 63% (vs 37% 'No').
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The analysis shows a clear lean toward Over 1.5: both teams have seasonOver15Percentage of 100%, meaning every match so far has seen more than 1.5 goals. The xG-based model (team attacking xG vs opponent defensive xG) estimates 1.305 goals for Miami FC II (attack xG 1.47 vs Phoenix defensive xG 1.14) and 1.255 goals for Phoenix Rising (attack xG 1.30 vs Miami defensive xG 1.21), totaling 2.56 expected goals. Miami averages 6.0 shots on target with an 18% conversion, while Phoenix averages 3.33 shots on target with a 6% conversion, which increases the hosts’ scoring potential. Seasonal Over 2.5 is 67% for Miami and 33% for Phoenix (avg. ~50%), so Over 2.5 has a slight edge (~55%), whereas Over 3.5 is unlikely (33% vs 0% → ~17%); therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I pick 1/1 (Miami FC II leading at Half-Time and winning at Full-Time) because the home side averages 2.0 goals per match versus 0.67 for Phoenix Rising and posts a higher xG of 1.47 versus 1.3, indicating an advantage in chance creation. Additionally, Miami FC II averages 6.0 shots on target versus 3.33 for the visitors and converts shots to goals at an 18% rate versus 6% for the away team, so with similar xG this translates into greater finishing efficiency. Half-time statistics show the hosts lead in 67% of matches and average 0.67 goals before the break, while the visitors average 0.0 goals at half-time, which strongly supports a lead at the break. Although across the season the hosts record 33% wins and 67% draws, the higher average points for the home team (1.67 per match versus 0.33 for the visitors) and the visitors’ average goals conceded of 1.67 suggest that maintaining the lead to full-time is more likely than a turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Miami FC II | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Miami FC II is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Miami FC II · 1.2 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Phoenix Rising is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Miami FC II · 1.33 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Miami FC II is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Miami FC II · 1.33 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Miami FC II scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Phoenix Rising scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Miami FC II keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Miami FC II
Over / Under - Phoenix Rising
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Phoenix Rising is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Miami FC II · 1.17 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Miami FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Miami FC II
Phoenix Rising
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Miami FC II | Liga | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Miami FC II 0 - 0 - 1 Phoenix Rising. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Miami FC II vs Phoenix Rising?
The USL Championship match finished Miami FC II 0:3 Phoenix Rising. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Miami FC II vs Phoenix Rising?
Miami FC II score 1.17 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.33. The USL Championship average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Miami FC II's matches and 67% of Phoenix Rising's.
What form are Miami FC II and Phoenix Rising in?
Over the last 5 games Miami FC II have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Miami FC II vs Phoenix Rising?
The statistical background for Miami FC II vs Phoenix Rising — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.