Middelfart vs Hobro: match statistics
Hobro appears to be the favorite in this match despite playing away. Middelfart is in poor form with only a 10% home win rate and an average of 0.8 points per match in their last five games. The hosts have won only 2 matches all season and concede an average of 1.8 goals per home game. Hobro has better recent form (1.4 points per match), twice as many wins this season (5 vs 2), and a 20% away win rate compared to Middelfart's 10% home win rate. Both teams have an identical goal difference (-6), but Hobro shows greater defensive stability away (1.6 goals conceded) than Middelfart at home (1.8). The xG stats are even, but the advantage in form and efficiency favors the visitors.
Middelfart vs Hobro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Middelfart played Hobro in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Middelfart: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Hobro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Middelfart scores 1.00 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Hobro scores 1.00 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Middelfart 62%, Hobro 48%. Over 2.5: Middelfart 71%, Hobro 38%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Hobro has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.22. Middelfart: 10.1 shots per match, Hobro: 11.4.
Match halves
Middelfart: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.52. Hobro: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Middelfart: 76-90+ (7 goals). Hobro: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hobro appears to be the favorite in this match despite playing away. Middelfart is in poor form with only a 10% home win rate and an average of 0.8 points per match in their last five games. The hosts have won only 2 matches all season and concede an average of 1.8 goals per home game. Hobro has better recent form (1.4 points per match), twice as many wins this season (5 vs 2), and a 20% away win rate compared to Middelfart's 10% home win rate. Both teams have an identical goal difference (-6), but Hobro shows greater defensive stability away (1.6 goals conceded) than Middelfart at home (1.8). The xG stats are even, but the advantage in form and efficiency favors the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Middelfart | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hobro is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Middelfart · 1.4 pts / match - Hobro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hobro is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.05 goals / match - Middelfart · 1.48 goals / match - Hobro
Middelfart scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Hobro scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Middelfart keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Middelfart
Over / Under - Hobro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hobro is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Middelfart · 1.1 pts / match - Hobro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Middelfart - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Middelfart
Hobro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Middelfart | Liga | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Middelfart 0 - 1 - 0 Hobro. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Middelfart vs Hobro?
The 1st Division match finished Middelfart 0:1 Hobro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Middelfart vs Hobro?
Middelfart score 1.00 goals per game on average and Hobro 1.00. The 1st Division average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Middelfart's matches and 48% of Hobro's.
What form are Middelfart and Hobro in?
Over the last 5 games Middelfart have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Hobro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Middelfart vs Hobro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.