Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City: match statistics
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Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Middlesbrough play Cardiff City in Championship (England). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Riverside Stadium.
Current form
Middlesbrough: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Cardiff City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Middlesbrough scores 2.00 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Cardiff City scores 1.60 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Middlesbrough 80%, Cardiff City 80%. Over 2.5: Middlesbrough 70%, Cardiff City 60%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff City has higher xG: 2.06 vs 1.92. Middlesbrough: 17.4 shots per match, Cardiff City: 18.0.
Match halves
Middlesbrough: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.30. Cardiff City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Middlesbrough: 76-90+ (5 goals). Cardiff City: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Middlesbrough | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Middlesbrough is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Middlesbrough · 1.4 pts / match - Cardiff City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Middlesbrough is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Middlesbrough · 1.6 goals / match - Cardiff City
Middlesbrough is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Middlesbrough · 1.5 goals / match - Cardiff City
Middlesbrough scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Cardiff City scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Middlesbrough
Over / Under - Cardiff City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Middlesbrough is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Middlesbrough · 1.1 pts / match - Cardiff City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Middlesbrough - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Middlesbrough
Cardiff City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Middlesbrough | Liga | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 66% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Middlesbrough and Cardiff City play?
Middlesbrough face Cardiff City on 17 October 2026 in Championship at Riverside Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City?
Middlesbrough score 2.00 goals per game on average and Cardiff City 1.60. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Middlesbrough's matches and 80% of Cardiff City's.
What form are Middlesbrough and Cardiff City in?
Over the last 5 games Middlesbrough have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cardiff City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.