Middlesbrough vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Middlesbrough play Derby County in Championship (England). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Middlesbrough: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Derby County: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Middlesbrough scores 1.49 and concedes 1.02 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.46 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Middlesbrough 55%, Derby County 65%. Over 2.5: Middlesbrough 53%, Derby County 52%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Middlesbrough has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.25. Middlesbrough: 16.2 shots per match, Derby County: 11.0.

Match halves

Middlesbrough: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76. Derby County: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Middlesbrough: 31-45+ (17 goals). Derby County: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

74Possession (%)26
MiddlesbroughDerby County
21Shots6
MiddlesbroughDerby County
4Shots on target1
MiddlesbroughDerby County
2.04xG0.69
MiddlesbroughDerby County
9Corners8
MiddlesbroughDerby County
61Dangerous attacks33
MiddlesbroughDerby County
9Fouls13
MiddlesbroughDerby County
0Cards2
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.49Goals scored / match1.46
MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.02Goals conceded / match1.28
MiddlesbroughDerby County
59%Average possession44%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
4.84Shots on target / match3.57
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.24Shots per match10.96
MiddlesbroughDerby County
4.84Shots on target3.57
MiddlesbroughDerby County
9.2%Shot conversion13.3%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
59%Possession44%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.79xG for1.25
MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.17xG against1.46
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Shooting quality

Middlesbrough: DominantDerby County: Counter-attacking
MiddlesbroughDerby County
Accuracy (shots on target)30%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Derby County is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Middlesbrough · 1.2 pts / match - Derby County

Middlesbrough
WDDLL
Season result split
45% W31% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-15-12
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-7-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Derby County
LWLWL
Season result split
43% W20% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-9-17
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-3-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Middlesbrough is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.02 goals / match - Middlesbrough · 1.28 goals / match - Derby County

Middlesbrough scoring profile: very strong

Middlesbrough scores in 73% of matches (36 of 49 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).

Derby County scoring profile: very strong

Derby County scores in 91% of matches (42 of 46 matches), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 29% (14 of 49 matches).

73Goals scored (season)67
MiddlesbroughDerby County
50Goals conceded (season)59
MiddlesbroughDerby County
2.51Average goals in match2.74
MiddlesbroughDerby County
8Goals scored (last 5)7
MiddlesbroughDerby County
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
MiddlesbroughDerby County

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal91%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
45%2 goals37%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
18%3 goals13%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
10%4 goals2%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal74%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
22%2 goals35%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
6%3 goals13%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
2%4 goals4%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time20%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
4%BTTS in both halves7%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
22%Scored in both halves22%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
60%BTTS - last 580%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derby County is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - Middlesbrough · 1.52 pts / match - Derby County

Middlesbrough - half-time state
35% leading39% draw27% trailing
Derby County - half-time state
39% leading35% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)1.52
MiddlesbroughDerby County
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.7
MiddlesbroughDerby County
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.24
MiddlesbroughDerby County
63%Clean sheet before half-time57%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
53%No goal before half-time43%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.37
MiddlesbroughDerby County
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
MiddlesbroughDerby County
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.74
MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.5
MiddlesbroughDerby County
51%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
51%No goal after half-time43%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Middlesbrough - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
70
Half-time points
36
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
63
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Derby County - second-half results

33% W39% R28% P
70
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
63
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Middlesbrough - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Derby County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Middlesbrough
ScoredConceded
9
7
0-15
10
10
16-30
17
5
31-45
13
6
46-60
13
8
61-75
11
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
8
11
0-15
9
5
16-30
15
9
31-45
13
5
46-60
10
15
61-75
12
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Middlesbrough

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.62
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

MiddlesbroughLigaDerby County
Average goals in match 2.512.59 2.74
Both teams scored 55%57% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%50% 52%
Clean sheets 29%25% 26%
Goal before half-time 69%71% 80%
Goal after half-time 73%76% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Middlesbrough 0 - 0 - 1 Derby County. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Derby County?

The Championship match finished Middlesbrough 2:1 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Middlesbrough vs Derby County?

Middlesbrough score 1.49 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.46. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Middlesbrough's matches and 65% of Derby County's.

What form are Middlesbrough and Derby County in?

Over the last 5 games Middlesbrough have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Derby County 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Middlesbrough vs Derby County?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Middlesbrough vs Derby County: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.