Middlesbrough vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Middlesbrough played Derby County in Championship (England). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Middlesbrough: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Derby County: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Middlesbrough scores 1.29 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.41 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Middlesbrough 59%, Derby County 71%. Over 2.5: Middlesbrough 47%, Derby County 47%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Middlesbrough has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.06. Middlesbrough: 12.7 shots per match, Derby County: 8.8.

Match halves

Middlesbrough: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. Derby County: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Middlesbrough: 76-90+ (6 goals). Derby County: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

74Possession (%)26
MiddlesbroughDerby County
21Shots6
MiddlesbroughDerby County
4Shots on target1
MiddlesbroughDerby County
2.04xG0.69
MiddlesbroughDerby County
9Corners8
MiddlesbroughDerby County
61Dangerous attacks33
MiddlesbroughDerby County
9Fouls13
MiddlesbroughDerby County
0Cards2
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.29Goals scored / match1.41
MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.06Goals conceded / match1.35
MiddlesbroughDerby County
54%Average possession41%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
3.76Shots on target / match2.94
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.65Shots per match8.76
MiddlesbroughDerby County
3.76Shots on target2.94
MiddlesbroughDerby County
10.2%Shot conversion16.1%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
54%Possession41%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.44xG for1.06
MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.21xG against1.51
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Shooting quality

Middlesbrough: BalancedDerby County: Counter-attacking
MiddlesbroughDerby County
Accuracy (shots on target)30%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.48

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Derby County is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Middlesbrough · 2.4 pts / match - Derby County

Middlesbrough
LDWDL
Season result split
47% W35% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-3
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Derby County
WWWLW
Season result split
41% W29% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-5
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Derby County is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Middlesbrough · 1.41 goals / match - Derby County

Middlesbrough is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.06 goals / match - Middlesbrough · 1.35 goals / match - Derby County

Middlesbrough scoring profile: very strong

Middlesbrough scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).

Derby County scoring profile: very strong

Derby County scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

22Goals scored (season)24
MiddlesbroughDerby County
18Goals conceded (season)23
MiddlesbroughDerby County
2.35Average goals in match2.76
MiddlesbroughDerby County
6Goals scored (last 5)11
MiddlesbroughDerby County
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
MiddlesbroughDerby County

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal88%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
41%2 goals41%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
6%3 goals12%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
0%4 goals0%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal82%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
18%2 goals24%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
12%3 goals18%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
6%4 goals6%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time12%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
6%BTTS in both halves6%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
18%Scored in both halves29%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
80%BTTS - last 5100%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derby County is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Middlesbrough · 1.41 pts / match - Derby County

Middlesbrough - half-time state
29% leading29% draw41% trailing
Derby County - half-time state
35% leading35% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.41
MiddlesbroughDerby County
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.59
MiddlesbroughDerby County
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.06
MiddlesbroughDerby County
53%Clean sheet before half-time59%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
65%No goal before half-time53%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.65Points per match (2nd half)1.47
MiddlesbroughDerby County
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
MiddlesbroughDerby County
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
MiddlesbroughDerby County
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.71
MiddlesbroughDerby County
59%Clean sheet after half-time47%
MiddlesbroughDerby County
35%No goal after half-time29%
MiddlesbroughDerby County

Middlesbrough - second-half results

41% W41% D18% L
20
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Derby County - second-half results

35% W41% D24% L
24
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Middlesbrough - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Derby County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.00
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.4
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+6-2
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Middlesbrough
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
4
16-30
5
2
31-45
5
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
5
3
31-45
7
2
46-60
3
6
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.55
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Middlesbrough

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.87
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

MiddlesbroughLigaDerby County
Average goals in match 2.352.57 2.76
Both teams scored 59%57% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%50% 47%
Clean sheets 29%25% 18%
Goal before half-time 71%74% 76%
Goal after half-time 76%75% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+7%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Derby CountyYellow cardBobby Clark
  2. Derby CountyYellow cardCallum Elder
  3. MiddlesbroughGoalMatthew Robert TargettAssist: Hayden Hackney
  4. MiddlesbroughGoalMorgan WhittakerAssist: Hayden Hackney

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

James LiningtonMatches officiated: 17
3.47Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 265%Home wins12%Draws24%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Derby County?

The Championship match finished Middlesbrough 2:1 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Middlesbrough vs Derby County?

Middlesbrough score 1.29 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.41. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Middlesbrough's matches and 71% of Derby County's.

What form are Middlesbrough and Derby County in?

Over the last 5 games Middlesbrough have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Derby County 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Middlesbrough vs Derby County?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Middlesbrough vs Derby County: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.