Middlesbrough vs Norwich City: match statistics
Middlesbrough displays a significantly better home form with a 64% win rate at home and only 14% defeats, making them the favorite of this match. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +13 in home matches and an impressive 43% clean sheet rate. Norwich City, despite a good recent five-match run, shows weaker away form with only 33% wins and a significantly worse xG (1.22 vs 1.67 conceded). A key factor is Middlesbrough's advantage in possession (57% vs 50%) and higher shots on target per game (4.5 vs 3.93). The difference in league position (2nd place vs 18th place) further confirms the hosts' advantage, although Norwich has shown character in recent matches, which justifies a certain probability of a draw or an upset.
Middlesbrough vs Norwich City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Middlesbrough played Norwich City in Championship (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Middlesbrough: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Norwich City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Middlesbrough scores 1.59 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Norwich City scores 1.28 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Middlesbrough 55%, Norwich City 69%. Over 2.5: Middlesbrough 55%, Norwich City 52%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Middlesbrough has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.34. Middlesbrough: 14.5 shots per match, Norwich City: 12.1.
Match halves
Middlesbrough: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.90. Norwich City: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Middlesbrough: 31-45+ (13 goals). Norwich City: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Middlesbrough displays a significantly better home form with a 64% win rate at home and only 14% defeats, making them the favorite of this match. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +13 in home matches and an impressive 43% clean sheet rate. Norwich City, despite a good recent five-match run, shows weaker away form with only 33% wins and a significantly worse xG (1.22 vs 1.67 conceded). A key factor is Middlesbrough's advantage in possession (57% vs 50%) and higher shots on target per game (4.5 vs 3.93). The difference in league position (2nd place vs 18th place) further confirms the hosts' advantage, although Norwich has shown character in recent matches, which justifies a certain probability of a draw or an upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Middlesbrough | Norwich City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Middlesbrough is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Middlesbrough · 1.28 goals / match - Norwich City
Middlesbrough is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Middlesbrough · 1.41 goals / match - Norwich City
Middlesbrough scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Norwich City keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 29 matches).
Norwich City scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Middlesbrough
Over / Under - Norwich City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Norwich City is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Middlesbrough · 1.41 pts / match - Norwich City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Middlesbrough - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Norwich City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Middlesbrough
Norwich City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Middlesbrough | Liga | Norwich City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.60 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 51% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 24% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 72% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Middlesbrough 1 - 0 - 0 Norwich City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Norwich City?
The Championship match finished Middlesbrough 1:0 Norwich City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Middlesbrough vs Norwich City?
Middlesbrough score 1.59 goals per game on average and Norwich City 1.28. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Middlesbrough's matches and 69% of Norwich City's.
What form are Middlesbrough and Norwich City in?
Over the last 5 games Middlesbrough have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Norwich City 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Middlesbrough vs Norwich City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.