Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: match statistics
Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Middlesbrough played Wolverhampton Wanderers in Championship (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Riverside Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Middlesbrough: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Wolverhampton Wanderers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Middlesbrough scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Wolverhampton Wanderers scores 2.14 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Middlesbrough 88%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 71%. Over 2.5: Middlesbrough 75%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 71%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Middlesbrough has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.64. Middlesbrough: 17.5 shots per match, Wolverhampton Wanderers: 16.0.
Match halves
Middlesbrough: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.13. Wolverhampton Wanderers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Middlesbrough: 76-90+ (4 goals). Wolverhampton Wanderers: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Middlesbrough are the favourites: they have won 3 of their 4 home matches and have yet to lose, while Wolverhampton have won 2 of their 4 away fixtures. The hosts average 2.75 goals at home from an xG of 2.11, compared with the visitors’ 2 goals from an xG of 1.52 away from home, pointing to Middlesbrough’s advantage in chance creation. This is backed up by an average of 6.5 shots on target for the hosts, compared with 3.75 for Wolverhampton on the road. Both teams concede 1.75 goals per match in these conditions, and Middlesbrough have conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches, so a home win is far from certain. Despite this defensive weakness, their home scoring record and stronger form over the last 5 matches — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, compared with Wolverhampton’s 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses — support the ‘1’ pick.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has occurred in 67% of Middlesbrough’s matches and 75% of Wolverhampton’s, with both teams scoring in every match played so far. The hosts average 2.33 goals per match, while the visitors concede 1.75; meanwhile, Wolverhampton average 2.00 goals, and Middlesbrough concede 1.00. Their attacking potential is backed up by xG figures of 1.81 for the hosts and 1.52 for the visitors, supporting the prospect of both sides scoring. Some caution is warranted, however, given the last 5 matches: BTTS occurred in 60% of Middlesbrough’s games but only 40% of Wolverhampton’s. Even so, both teams’ scoring records this season and their high BTTS rates point towards a BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Middlesbrough average 2.33 goals at home, while Wolverhampton score 2.00 goals away, providing a strong basis for expecting both teams to find the net. The hosts create chances worth 1.81 xG per match, while the visitors allow opponents 1.38 xG; the corresponding figures in the other direction are 1.52 and 1.08 xG. Over 1.5 goals landed in 67% of Middlesbrough’s home matches and 75% of Wolverhampton’s away matches, and neither team has yet finished a match of this kind without scoring. Although both sides also went over the 2.5-goal line in 67% and 75% of these matches, respectively, this outcome has occurred in just 40% of the visitors’ last five games. Therefore, with a projected total of 3.20 goals, Over 1.5 goals is the safest pick, with an estimated probability of 84%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is a draw at half-time and a Middlesbrough win at full-time. The hosts were level at the break in 2 of their 3 home matches, while Wolverhampton were level in 2 of their 4 away games; moreover, the visitors had not led at half-time in any of their last 5 matches. After the break, Middlesbrough averaged 1.33 goals scored at home, while Wolverhampton conceded an average of 0.75 goals away. The hosts’ prospects of winning at full-time are also supported by their average of 2.33 goals scored at home compared with the visitors’ 1.75 goals conceded away, as well as their xG advantage: 1.81 to 1.52. However, this is not a strong pick, as Middlesbrough conceded an average of 1.2 goals after half-time across their last 5 matches, increasing the chances of the draw holding or the visitors winning.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wolverhampton Wanderers is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Middlesbrough · 2 pts / match - Wolverhampton Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wolverhampton Wanderers is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Middlesbrough · 2.14 goals / match - Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wolverhampton Wanderers is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Middlesbrough · 1.43 goals / match - Wolverhampton Wanderers
Middlesbrough scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Wolverhampton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Wolverhampton Wanderers scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Middlesbrough
Over / Under - Wolverhampton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Middlesbrough is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Middlesbrough · 1.43 pts / match - Wolverhampton Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Middlesbrough - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wolverhampton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Middlesbrough
Wolverhampton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Middlesbrough | Liga | Wolverhampton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 88% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 19% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
The Championship match finished Middlesbrough 1:0 Wolverhampton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Middlesbrough score 2.00 goals per game on average and Wolverhampton Wanderers 2.14. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 88% of Middlesbrough's matches and 71% of Wolverhampton Wanderers's.
What form are Middlesbrough and Wolverhampton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Middlesbrough have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.