Argentina - Prim B NacionalEstadio Ferrocarril MidlandData current as of 23 July 2026

Midland vs Patronato: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Midland vs Patronato: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Midland play Patronato in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estadio Ferrocarril Midland.

Current form

Midland: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Patronato: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Midland scores 1.05 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Patronato scores 0.65 and concedes 0.85. League average: 1.89 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Midland 40%, Patronato 35%. Over 2.5: Midland 25%, Patronato 15%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.

xG, shots and style

Midland has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.20. Midland: 14.4 shots per match, Patronato: 9.7.

Match halves

Midland: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.60. Patronato: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.25.

Goals by minute

Midland: 76-90+ (7 goals). Patronato: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.84)
(2.92)
(4.70)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.05Goals scored / match0.65
MidlandPatronato
0.75Goals conceded / match0.85
MidlandPatronato
53%Average possession51%
MidlandPatronato
4.8Shots on target / match2.9
MidlandPatronato

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.4Shots per match9.7
MidlandPatronato
4.8Shots on target2.9
MidlandPatronato
7.3%Shot conversion6.7%
MidlandPatronato
53%Possession51%
MidlandPatronato
1.76xG for1.2
MidlandPatronato
1.23xG against1.17
MidlandPatronato

Shooting quality

Midland: AttackingPatronato: Balanced
MidlandPatronato
Accuracy (shots on target)33%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Midland is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Midland · 0.8 pts / match - Patronato

Midland
LLDDW
Season result split
40% W30% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-6
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Patronato
DDDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W50% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-10-6
1.10 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-6-3
Last 5 away
0-4-1
DDLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Midland is 62% better for: goals scored per match.

1.05 goals / match - Midland · 0.65 goals / match - Patronato

Midland is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.75 goals / match - Midland · 0.85 goals / match - Patronato

Midland scoring profile: strong

Midland scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Patronato keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).

Patronato scoring profile: mixed

Patronato scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Midland keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).

21Goals scored (season)13
MidlandPatronato
15Goals conceded (season)17
MidlandPatronato
1.8Average goals in match1.5
MidlandPatronato
4Goals scored (last 5)3
MidlandPatronato
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
MidlandPatronato

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal50%
MidlandPatronato
30%2 goals15%
MidlandPatronato
5%3 goals0%
MidlandPatronato
0%4 goals0%
MidlandPatronato

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal60%
MidlandPatronato
15%2 goals20%
MidlandPatronato
0%3 goals5%
MidlandPatronato
0%4 goals0%
MidlandPatronato

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time5%
MidlandPatronato
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MidlandPatronato
30%Scored in both halves10%
MidlandPatronato

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS10%
MidlandPatronato
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
MidlandPatronato
60%BTTS - last 560%
MidlandPatronato

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
MidlandPatronato
15%Min. 2 goals before half-time15%
MidlandPatronato
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MidlandPatronato

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
MidlandPatronato
15%Min. 2 goals after half-time15%
MidlandPatronato
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
MidlandPatronato

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Midland is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / match - Midland · 1.4 pts / match - Patronato

Midland - half-time state
35% leading50% draw15% trailing
Patronato - half-time state
30% leading50% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per match (1st half)1.4
MidlandPatronato
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.4
MidlandPatronato
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.3
MidlandPatronato
0.75Average goals (1st half)0.7
MidlandPatronato
75%Clean sheet before half-time75%
MidlandPatronato
55%No goal before half-time65%
MidlandPatronato

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)0.9
MidlandPatronato
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
MidlandPatronato
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
MidlandPatronato
1.05Average goals (2nd half)0.8
MidlandPatronato
60%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MidlandPatronato
45%No goal after half-time75%
MidlandPatronato

Midland - second-half results

45% W20% R35% P
31
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Patronato - second-half results

15% W45% R40% P
28
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Midland - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Patronato - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.40
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Midland
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
5
2
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
0
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Patronato
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
6
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Midland

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Patronato

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).

Teams vs league

MidlandLigaPatronato
Average goals in match 1.801.89 1.50
Both teams scored 40%39% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 25%30% 15%
Clean sheets 40%39% 40%
Goal before half-time 60%56% 55%
Goal after half-time 85%70% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.89
Average goals per match
39%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.14
Home goals / match
0.75
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Midland 0 - 1 - 0 Patronato. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Midland and Patronato play?

Midland face Patronato on 26 July 2026 in Prim B Nacional at Estadio Ferrocarril Midland. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Midland vs Patronato?

Midland score 1.05 goals per game on average and Patronato 0.65. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Midland's matches and 35% of Patronato's.

What form are Midland and Patronato in?

Over the last 5 games Midland have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Patronato 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Midland vs Patronato?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.

Midland - Patronato - statistical preview | NoFluffPicks Stats