Midtjylland vs AGF: match statistics
Midtjylland vs AGF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Midtjylland play AGF in Superliga (Denmark). The match date is 20 April 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Midtjylland: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. AGF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Midtjylland scores 2.25 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. AGF scores 1.94 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Midtjylland 63%, AGF 72%. Over 2.5: Midtjylland 63%, AGF 53%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
AGF has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.65. Midtjylland: 14.3 shots per match, AGF: 15.7.
Match halves
Midtjylland: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.28. AGF: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Midtjylland: 76-90+ (17 goals). AGF: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-3-0. Average goals 0.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I back the home win. Midtjylland have scored 63 goals this season versus 50 for AGF, and at home they average 2.77 goals per game with an xG of 1.83, while AGF average 2.08 goals away with an xG of 1.53. The hosts register 6.62 on-target shots at home and maintain 57% possession, whereas the visitors have 4.85 on-target shots and 49% possession, translating into a higher volume and quality of chances for Midtjylland. Defensively AGF are slightly favoured (1.15 goals conceded away vs 1.31 conceded by Midtjylland at home), but Midtjylland keep more clean sheets at home (23% vs 8%) and have superior conversion (18% vs 15%). Considering the xG advantage, shot volume and efficiency differential, I assess the probabilities as: Home 55%, Draw 25%, Away 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Midtjylland | AGF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AGF is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Midtjylland · 2.2 pts / match - AGF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Midtjylland is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
2.25 goals / match - Midtjylland · 1.94 goals / match - AGF
AGF is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Midtjylland · 1 goals / match - AGF
Midtjylland scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while AGF keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
AGF scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Midtjylland keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Midtjylland
Over / Under — AGF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AGF is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Midtjylland · 2.16 pts / match - AGF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Midtjylland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AGF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 59%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Midtjylland
AGF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Midtjylland | Liga | AGF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 3.10 | ▼ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 79% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Midtjylland 0 - 3 - 0 AGF. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Midtjylland vs AGF?
The Superliga match finished Midtjylland 2:1 AGF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Midtjylland and AGF?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Midtjylland won 0, AGF won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Midtjylland vs AGF?
Midtjylland score 2.25 goals per game on average and AGF 1.94. The Superliga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Midtjylland's matches and 72% of AGF's.
What form are Midtjylland and AGF in?
Over the last 5 games Midtjylland have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and AGF 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Midtjylland vs AGF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.