Midtjylland vs Brøndby: match statistics
Midtjylland vs Brøndby: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Midtjylland played Brøndby in Superliga (Denmark). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: MCH Arena. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Midtjylland: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Brøndby: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Midtjylland scores 2.26 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Brøndby scores 1.32 and concedes 1.06. League average: 3.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Midtjylland 61%, Brøndby 35%. Over 2.5: Midtjylland 61%, Brøndby 42%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Brøndby has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.64. Midtjylland: 14.2 shots per match, Brøndby: 14.3.
Match halves
Midtjylland: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.32. Brøndby: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Midtjylland: 76-90+ (17 goals). Brøndby: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Midtjylland has a clear home offensive edge: they average 2.73 goals per match, produce 15 shots with 6.33 on target and an efficiency around 18%, while Brøndby on the road average 0.93 goals with 14.2 shots and only 4.47 on target with ~7% efficiency. The visitors, however, defend solidly away — conceding just 0.87 goals on average and recording 47% clean sheets, whereas Midtjylland at home concede 1.4 goals and have only 20% clean sheets, which may limit the margin of a home win. In their last 5 matches Midtjylland are unbeaten (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 4 with 1.8 pts/match, while Brøndby are 2-1-2 with 8 scored and 6 conceded and 1.4 pts/match, so form favors the hosts. Differences in chance quality are confirmed by xG: hosts generate 1.78 xG at home versus 1.6 xG for the visitors away, and a possession edge of 58% vs 52% gives Midtjylland more opportunities. Considering the hosts’ higher finishing rate (18% vs 7%), Midtjylland’s low home loss rate (7%) and Brøndby’s solid but less effective attacking displays away, I estimate the probabilities at roughly: Home win 60%, Draw 25%, Brøndby win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No BTTS. Brøndby average only 0.93 goals per away match and show a low shot conversion rate of 7%, while recording 47% clean sheets and a season BTTS rate of just 20%. Despite an away xG of 1.60, their inefficiency (0.93 actual goals) indicates risk of missed chances. Midtjylland at home average 1.69 goals with xG 1.69 versus xG against 1.36, and a home BTTS rate of 50%, meaning hosts create more chances but that does not guarantee both teams to score. In the last 5 matches Midtjylland scored 6 and conceded 4 (1.2 and 0.8 avg), while Brøndby scored 8 and conceded 6 (1.6 and 1.2 avg), giving the hosts a slight defensive edge. Considering the league’s high BTTS rate of 59% but the strong signal from Brøndby (47% clean sheets and 7% conversion), I assign 35% to 'yes' and 65% to 'no', selecting 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Midtjylland creates and converts a lot of chances: season xG is 1.69 and average goals scored 1.69 per match, while Brøndby has season xG 1.60 but scores only 0.93 on average, indicating lower finishing efficiency. Season shares of matches with over 1.5 goals are 81% for Midtjylland and 53% for Brøndby (average 67%), and the league averages 3.04 goals per match, so I rate Over 1.5 at 75%. At the 2.5 line season rates are 56% (Midtjylland) and 27% (Brøndby), and the last 5 matches for both teams show about 40% Over 2.5, hence I estimate Over 2.5 at 42%. Over 3.5 is unlikely: season values 31% and 7% give an average of ~19%, therefore I set Under 3.5 at 82%. I conservatively project 1.55 goals for Midtjylland and 1.15 for Brøndby (total 2.70), which further reinforces Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Midtjylland led at the break in 7 of their season matches (44%), while Brøndby led at the break in 5 matches (33%), but in the last 5 home fixtures the hosts were level at half-time in 5 out of 5 (100%), which increases the likelihood of a draw at the break. In the second half Midtjylland clearly dominate: on average 0.81 goals scored after the break versus 0.33 for Brøndby, and the hosts’ second-half goals per game are 1.63 compared to 0.93 for the visitors. xG are similar (1.69 for Midtjylland vs 1.60 for Brøndby), yet the hosts’ shot conversion of 12% versus the visitors’ 7% suggests Midtjylland are more likely to turn chances into goals after the break. Additionally, clean sheets are common at half-time (69% for Midtjylland and 80% for Brøndby), which favors a half-time draw and then a home turnaround in the second half; therefore I select the X/1 scenario as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Midtjylland | Brøndby | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Midtjylland is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Midtjylland · 1.4 pts / match - Brøndby
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Midtjylland is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
2.26 goals / match - Midtjylland · 1.32 goals / match - Brøndby
Midtjylland scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Brøndby keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).
Brøndby scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Midtjylland keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Midtjylland
Over / Under - Brøndby
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brøndby is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Midtjylland · 1.58 pts / match - Brøndby
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Midtjylland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brøndby - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Midtjylland
Brøndby
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Midtjylland | Liga | Brøndby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.32 | 3.05 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 61% | 60% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 24% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 74% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Midtjylland 2 - 1 - 0 Brøndby. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Midtjylland vs Brøndby?
The Superliga match finished Midtjylland 2:3 Brøndby. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Midtjylland and Brøndby?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Midtjylland won 2, Brøndby won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Midtjylland vs Brøndby?
Midtjylland score 2.26 goals per game on average and Brøndby 1.32. The Superliga average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Midtjylland's matches and 35% of Brøndby's.
What form are Midtjylland and Brøndby in?
Over the last 5 games Midtjylland have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Brøndby 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Midtjylland vs Brøndby?
The statistical background for Midtjylland vs Brøndby — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.