Poland - 1. LigaStadion im. Orła BiałegoData current as of 17 October 2026

Miedź Legnica vs Stal Mielec: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Miedź Legnica vs Stal Mielec: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Miedź Legnica play Stal Mielec in 1. Liga (Poland). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadion im. Orła Białego.

Current form

Miedź Legnica: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Stal Mielec: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Miedź Legnica scores 1.40 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Stal Mielec scores 1.60 and concedes 2.40. League average: 2.72 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Miedź Legnica 50%, Stal Mielec 80%. Over 2.5: Miedź Legnica 40%, Stal Mielec 70%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Miedź Legnica has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.52. Miedź Legnica: 17.0 shots per match, Stal Mielec: 13.6.

Match halves

Miedź Legnica: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00. Stal Mielec: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Miedź Legnica: 76-90+ (6 goals). Stal Mielec: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.65)
(3.94)
(4.06)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1.4Goals scored / match1.6
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1Goals conceded / match2.4
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
53%Average possession48%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
4.6Shots on target / match3.9
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17Shots per match13.6
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
4.6Shots on target3.9
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
8.2%Shot conversion11.8%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
53%Possession48%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1.88xG for1.52
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1.84xG against1.84
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

Shooting quality

Miedź Legnica: AttackingStal Mielec: Balanced
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
Accuracy (shots on target)27%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Miedź Legnica
WDLLL
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-4
1.40 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Stal Mielec
LDLLW
Season result split
30% W30% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-4
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 away
1-0-3
WLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stal Mielec is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Miedź Legnica · 1.6 goals / match - Stal Mielec

Miedź Legnica is 140% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Miedź Legnica · 2.4 goals / match - Stal Mielec

Miedź Legnica scoring profile: very strong

Miedź Legnica scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).

Stal Mielec scoring profile: very strong

Stal Mielec scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Miedź Legnica keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

14Goals scored (season)16
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
10Goals conceded (season)24
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
2.4Average goals in match4
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
6Goals scored (last 5)5
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
8Goals conceded (last 5)13
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
50%2 goals40%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
10%3 goals20%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0%4 goals10%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal100%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
20%2 goals60%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
10%3 goals30%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0%4 goals20%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time30%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
40%Scored in both halves20%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
80%BTTS - last 580%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stal Mielec is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Miedź Legnica · 1.4 pts / match - Stal Mielec

Miedź Legnica - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Stal Mielec - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.4
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0.4Goals scored (1st half)1
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1.1Average goals (1st half)1.8
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
50%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
60%No goal before half-time40%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

After half-time (2nd half)

2.1Points per match (2nd half)0.9
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0.3Goals conceded (2nd half)1.6
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1.3Average goals (2nd half)2.2
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
70%Clean sheet after half-time20%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
20%No goal after half-time60%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

Miedź Legnica - second-half results

60% W30% D10% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stal Mielec - second-half results

20% W30% D50% L
14
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Miedź Legnica - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Stal Mielec - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-2-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Miedź Legnica
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Stal Mielec
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
9
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.20
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-37%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Miedź Legnica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.84
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Stal Mielec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 31% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Miedź LegnicaLigaStal Mielec
Average goals in match▼ 2.402.72▲ 4.00
Both teams scored▼ 50%54%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%51%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▲ 30%25%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%75%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%77%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.72
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Miedź Legnica 2 - 0 - 0 Stal Mielec. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

MKS Miedź Legnica
1 : 0
FKS Stal Mielec
FKS Stal Mielec
1 : 2
MKS Miedź Legnica

FAQ

When do Miedź Legnica and Stal Mielec play?

Miedź Legnica face Stal Mielec on 17 October 2026 in 1. Liga at Stadion im. Orła Białego. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Miedź Legnica and Stal Mielec?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Miedź Legnica won 2, Stal Mielec won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Miedź Legnica vs Stal Mielec?

Miedź Legnica score 1.40 goals per game on average and Stal Mielec 1.60. The 1. Liga average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Miedź Legnica's matches and 80% of Stal Mielec's.

What form are Miedź Legnica and Stal Mielec in?

Over the last 5 games Miedź Legnica have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Stal Mielec 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Miedź Legnica vs Stal Mielec?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.