Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı: match statistics
İnter Bakı displays significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors have a positive goal difference away from home (+2) compared to the hosts' negative home goal difference (-6), which demonstrates their superior efficiency. İnter Bakı boasts better shooting efficiency (11% shot conversion vs the hosts' 8%) and a higher average xG (1.13 vs 0.87), confirming their offensive advantage. Mil Mugan FK has just a 10% home win rate and hasn't won any of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have won 30% of their away matches and earned 1.4 points per game in the last five rounds. Additionally, İnter Bakı can boast a 50% clean sheet rate away from home, making their defense significantly more solid than the hosts' attack, who have failed to score in half of their home matches.
Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mil Mugan FK played İnter Bakı in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mil Mugan FK: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. İnter Bakı: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mil Mugan FK scores 0.90 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. İnter Bakı scores 1.05 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mil Mugan FK 30%, İnter Bakı 50%. Over 2.5: Mil Mugan FK 35%, İnter Bakı 50%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
İnter Bakı has higher xG: 1.07 vs 0.91. Mil Mugan FK: 7.3 shots per match, İnter Bakı: 8.3.
Match halves
Mil Mugan FK: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.60. İnter Bakı: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Mil Mugan FK: 76-90+ (6 goals). İnter Bakı: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
İnter Bakı displays significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors have a positive goal difference away from home (+2) compared to the hosts' negative home goal difference (-6), which demonstrates their superior efficiency. İnter Bakı boasts better shooting efficiency (11% shot conversion vs the hosts' 8%) and a higher average xG (1.13 vs 0.87), confirming their offensive advantage. Mil Mugan FK has just a 10% home win rate and hasn't won any of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have won 30% of their away matches and earned 1.4 points per game in the last five rounds. Additionally, İnter Bakı can boast a 50% clean sheet rate away from home, making their defense significantly more solid than the hosts' attack, who have failed to score in half of their home matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mil Mugan FK | İnter Bakı | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
İnter Bakı is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK · 0.8 pts / match - İnter Bakı
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
İnter Bakı is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK · 1.05 goals / match - İnter Bakı
Mil Mugan FK scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
İnter Bakı scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mil Mugan FK
Over / Under - İnter Bakı
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
İnter Bakı is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK · 1.3 pts / match - İnter Bakı
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
İnter Bakı - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mil Mugan FK
İnter Bakı
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Mil Mugan FK | Liga | İnter Bakı | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 33% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mil Mugan FK 0 - 0 - 1 İnter Bakı. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Mil Mugan FK 0:0 İnter Bakı. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı?
Mil Mugan FK score 0.90 goals per game on average and İnter Bakı 1.05. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Mil Mugan FK's matches and 50% of İnter Bakı's.
What form are Mil Mugan FK and İnter Bakı in?
Over the last 5 games Mil Mugan FK have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and İnter Bakı 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.