Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF: match statistics
Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Millonarios played Fortaleza CEIF in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 31 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Millonarios: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Fortaleza CEIF: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Millonarios scores 1.77 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.08 and concedes 1.54. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millonarios 62%, Fortaleza CEIF 77%. Over 2.5: Millonarios 69%, Fortaleza CEIF 46%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Millonarios has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.28. Millonarios: 16.0 shots per match, Fortaleza CEIF: 12.2.
Match halves
Millonarios: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.00. Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Millonarios: 46-60 (7 goals). Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Millonarios show far superior home form and stats: 71% home win rate, 2.00 G/90 and only 0.57 GA with 57% matches keeping a clean sheet. In the last five hosts scored 13 goals and won four, demonstrating strong offensive efficiency and stable form (PPG 2.4). Fortaleza have no away wins (Win% 0), a -8 goal differential, 0.86 away G/90 and 2.00 GA away, with a higher loss rate (57%). The xG and SOT gap (hosts much more active) points to Millonarios’ advantage in chance creation while visitors often underperform in finishing (FTS 29%). Based on home dominance, better efficiency and the visitors’ defensive weaknesses, I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season and last5 data strongly support BTTS: Millonarios season BTTS 83%, Fortaleza 71%, league average 55%. Both teams rarely keep clean sheets (CS 17% and 14%) and create scoring opportunities (xG home 1.46, away 1.13; home SOT 5.17). Millonarios show greater home attacking strength, and Fortaleza has 80% last5 BTTS despite weaker form. Given low CS rates and high BTTS for both clubs, the dominant pick is Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Stats indicate clear goal tendencies: high Millonarios xG (1.46) and relatively weak away defensive line (xG_against_away 1.28) yield ~1.37 expected home goals, while Fortaleza is projected at ~1.00. Both teams have high BTTS and very high season Over 1.5 rates (83% and 86%), strongly supporting Over 1.5. Over 2.5 is judged moderate (seasonal ~50/43% and expected goals 2.37), producing a near even split with slight edge to under. Over 3.5 is unlikely due to low historical values, especially for the home side. Strongest signal: play Over 1.5 based on xG, BTTS and Millonarios’ form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Millonarios clearly dominate the stats (higher xG, goal average and PPG), especially in the second half, where they record many wins and goals after the 75th minute. Season HT data show frequent HT draws for the hosts, while the last-5 matches demonstrate their second-half strength. Fortaleza has poor away form, low PPG and higher conceded averages, limiting their probability of leading or holding a lead. The combination of frequent HT draws and Millonarios’ second-half dominance suggests HT draw and FT home win. I therefore recommend HT/FT X/1 as the strongest signal from the available data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millonarios | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millonarios is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Millonarios · 0.8 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millonarios is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
1.77 goals / match - Millonarios · 1.08 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Millonarios is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Millonarios · 1.54 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Millonarios scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Millonarios
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millonarios is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Millonarios · 0.54 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millonarios - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Millonarios
Fortaleza CEIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Millonarios | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.85 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Millonarios 2 - 0 - 0 Fortaleza CEIF. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Millonarios 2:2 Fortaleza CEIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Millonarios and Fortaleza CEIF?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 2, Fortaleza CEIF won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Millonarios score 1.77 goals per game on average and Fortaleza CEIF 1.08. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Millonarios's matches and 77% of Fortaleza CEIF's.
What form are Millonarios and Fortaleza CEIF in?
Over the last 5 games Millonarios have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Fortaleza CEIF 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.