Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF: match statistics
Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Millonarios play Fortaleza CEIF in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 31 March 2026 at 03:20. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Millonarios: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Fortaleza CEIF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Millonarios scores 1.63 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.16 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millonarios 63%, Fortaleza CEIF 74%. Over 2.5: Millonarios 63%, Fortaleza CEIF 47%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Millonarios has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.26. Millonarios: 15.7 shots per match, Fortaleza CEIF: 12.0.
Match halves
Millonarios: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.95. Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Millonarios: 46-60 (10 goals). Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Millonarios show far superior home form and stats: 71% home win rate, 2.00 G/90 and only 0.57 GA with 57% matches keeping a clean sheet. In the last five hosts scored 13 goals and won four, demonstrating strong offensive efficiency and stable form (PPG 2.4). Fortaleza have no away wins (Win% 0), a -8 goal differential, 0.86 away G/90 and 2.00 GA away, with a higher loss rate (57%). The xG and SOT gap (hosts much more active) points to Millonarios’ advantage in chance creation while visitors often underperform in finishing (FTS 29%). Based on home dominance, better efficiency and the visitors’ defensive weaknesses, I tip a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millonarios | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza CEIF is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Millonarios · 1.4 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millonarios is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Millonarios · 1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Millonarios is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Millonarios · 1.42 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Millonarios scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Millonarios
Over / Under — Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millonarios is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Millonarios · 0.79 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millonarios - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Millonarios
Fortaleza CEIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Millonarios | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.84 | 2.53 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Millonarios 2 - 0 - 0 Fortaleza CEIF. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Millonarios 2:2 Fortaleza CEIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Millonarios and Fortaleza CEIF?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 2, Fortaleza CEIF won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Millonarios score 1.63 goals per game on average and Fortaleza CEIF 1.16. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Millonarios's matches and 74% of Fortaleza CEIF's.
What form are Millonarios and Fortaleza CEIF in?
Over the last 5 games Millonarios have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Fortaleza CEIF 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


