Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Nemesio Camacho El CampínData current as of 15 October 2026

Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Millonarios play Jaguares de Córdoba in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín.

Current form

Millonarios: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Jaguares de Córdoba: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Millonarios scores 1.52 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Jaguares de Córdoba scores 1.10 and concedes 1.77. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Millonarios 61%, Jaguares de Córdoba 55%. Over 2.5: Millonarios 48%, Jaguares de Córdoba 55%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Millonarios has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.13. Millonarios: 15.5 shots per match, Jaguares de Córdoba: 10.9.

Match halves

Millonarios: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.91. Jaguares de Córdoba: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.65.

Goals by minute

Millonarios: 46-60 (13 goals). Jaguares de Córdoba: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.19)
(6.10)
(13.20)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
1.52Goals scored / match1.1
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
1.06Goals conceded / match1.77
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
49%Average possession45%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
5.91Shots on target / match3.65
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.48Shots per match10.9
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
5.91Shots on target3.65
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
9.8%Shot conversion10.1%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
49%Possession45%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
1.64xG for1.13
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
1.11xG against1.67
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba

Shooting quality

Millonarios: AttackingJaguares de Córdoba: Balanced
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
Accuracy (shots on target)38%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Millonarios is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Millonarios · 0.8 pts / match - Jaguares de Córdoba

Millonarios
WWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
36% W36% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-12-9
1.45 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-5-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Jaguares de Córdoba
DLLLW
Season result split
23% W23% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-17
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-11
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 2.03BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Millonarios is 38% better for: goals scored per match.

1.52 goals / match - Millonarios · 1.1 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba

Millonarios is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.06 goals / match - Millonarios · 1.77 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba

Millonarios scoring profile: very strong

Millonarios scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Jaguares de Córdoba keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).

Jaguares de Córdoba scoring profile: strong

Jaguares de Córdoba scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).

50Goals scored (season)34
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
35Goals conceded (season)55
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
2.58Average goals in match2.87
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
9Goals scored (last 5)7
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal71%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
45%2 goals29%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
12%3 goals10%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
6%4 goals0%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal84%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
30%2 goals65%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
9%3 goals23%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
0%4 goals3%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
Jaguares de Córdoba - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 31 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time26%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
3%BTTS in both halves10%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
27%Scored in both halves16%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
80%BTTS - last 580%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Millonarios is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / match - Millonarios · 1.06 pts / match - Jaguares de Córdoba

Millonarios - half-time state
33% leading52% draw15% trailing
Jaguares de Córdoba - half-time state
19% leading48% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per match (1st half)1.06
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.45
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
0.39Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
1Average goals (1st half)1.19
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
70%Clean sheet before half-time45%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
55%No goal before half-time58%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)0.94
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
0.91Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1.03
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.68
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
45%Clean sheet after half-time26%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
33%No goal after half-time55%
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba

Millonarios - second-half results

39% W36% D24% L
50
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Jaguares de Córdoba - second-half results

19% W35% D45% L
33
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Millonarios - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Jaguares de Córdoba - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Millonarios
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
7
3
16-30
9
8
31-45
13
8
46-60
7
7
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Jaguares de Córdoba
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
5
7
16-30
5
7
31-45
5
8
46-60
4
11
61-75
11
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.73
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Millonarios

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Jaguares de Córdoba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

MillonariosLigaJaguares de Córdoba
Average goals in match• 2.582.55▲ 2.87
Both teams scored▲ 61%55%• 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 48%48%▲ 55%
Clean sheets▲ 33%27%▼ 16%
Goal before half-time▼ 58%67%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%78%▲ 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+45%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Millonarios 0 - 0 - 1 Jaguares de Córdoba. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Millonarios and Jaguares de Córdoba play?

Millonarios face Jaguares de Córdoba on 17 October 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Millonarios score 1.52 goals per game on average and Jaguares de Córdoba 1.10. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Millonarios's matches and 55% of Jaguares de Córdoba's.

What form are Millonarios and Jaguares de Córdoba in?

Over the last 5 games Millonarios have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Jaguares de Córdoba 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

The statistical background for Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.