Millwall vs Birmingham City: match statistics
Millwall presents solid home form with 53% of matches won at home and an impressive record of 41% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts remain undefeated in their last five matches, earning 2.2 points per game, which testifies to their stability. Birmingham City has significant problems away from home, where they lose as many as 53% of matches and possess a negative goal difference of -10. The visitors record just 0.88 goals per away match and only 29% wins, putting them in a disadvantageous position. Millwall disposes of a better xG ratio (1.59 vs 1.17) and shot efficiency (10% vs 8%), suggesting higher offensive quality. Considering the hosts' advantage in home matches and Birmingham's poor disposition on the road, I expect a victory for Millwall, although the visitors also present themselves solidly in recent overall form, which may make the match competitive.
Millwall vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Millwall played Birmingham City in Championship (England). The match was played on 25 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Millwall: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Birmingham City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Millwall scores 1.27 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Birmingham City scores 1.36 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millwall 48%, Birmingham City 58%. Over 2.5: Millwall 48%, Birmingham City 48%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Birmingham City has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.45. Millwall: 12.8 shots per match, Birmingham City: 14.3.
Match halves
Millwall: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.79. Birmingham City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Millwall: 76-90+ (13 goals). Birmingham City: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Millwall presents solid home form with 53% of matches won at home and an impressive record of 41% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts remain undefeated in their last five matches, earning 2.2 points per game, which testifies to their stability. Birmingham City has significant problems away from home, where they lose as many as 53% of matches and possess a negative goal difference of -10. The visitors record just 0.88 goals per away match and only 29% wins, putting them in a disadvantageous position. Millwall disposes of a better xG ratio (1.59 vs 1.17) and shot efficiency (10% vs 8%), suggesting higher offensive quality. Considering the hosts' advantage in home matches and Birmingham's poor disposition on the road, I expect a victory for Millwall, although the visitors also present themselves solidly in recent overall form, which may make the match competitive.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Birmingham City is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Millwall · 2.2 pts / match - Birmingham City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Millwall · 1.36 goals / match - Birmingham City
Millwall scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
Birmingham City scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Millwall
Over / Under - Birmingham City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Millwall · 1.24 pts / match - Birmingham City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Millwall
Birmingham City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.59 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Millwall 0 - 0 - 1 Birmingham City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Millwall vs Birmingham City?
The Championship match finished Millwall 3:0 Birmingham City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Birmingham City?
Millwall score 1.27 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.36. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Millwall's matches and 58% of Birmingham City's.
What form are Millwall and Birmingham City in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Birmingham City 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Birmingham City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Millwall vs Birmingham City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.