Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers: match statistics
Millwall shows a clear advantage over Blackburn Rovers in every respect. The hosts sit 3rd in the table with an impressive form of 4 wins in their last 5 matches, while the visitors are in 21st position with only 1 win in the same period. At their home stadium, Millwall wins 58% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.42 goals while conceding just 1.11, and they also keep a clean sheet in 47% of their games. Blackburn performs significantly worse in away fixtures – winning only 33% of their games, scoring an average of 0.89 goals, conceding 1.28 goals per match, and failing to score in 44% of cases. The advantage in xG (1.58 vs 1.26) and goal difference (+6 for the hosts, -7 for the visitors) further confirm Millwall's clear dominance, making a home win the most probable scenario.
Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Millwall played Blackburn Rovers in Championship (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Millwall: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Blackburn Rovers: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Millwall scores 1.38 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Blackburn Rovers scores 0.92 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millwall 46%, Blackburn Rovers 49%. Over 2.5: Millwall 49%, Blackburn Rovers 41%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Millwall has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.33. Millwall: 12.8 shots per match, Blackburn Rovers: 11.6.
Match halves
Millwall: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.81. Blackburn Rovers: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Millwall: 76-90+ (15 goals). Blackburn Rovers: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Millwall shows a clear advantage over Blackburn Rovers in every respect. The hosts sit 3rd in the table with an impressive form of 4 wins in their last 5 matches, while the visitors are in 21st position with only 1 win in the same period. At their home stadium, Millwall wins 58% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.42 goals while conceding just 1.11, and they also keep a clean sheet in 47% of their games. Blackburn performs significantly worse in away fixtures – winning only 33% of their games, scoring an average of 0.89 goals, conceding 1.28 goals per match, and failing to score in 44% of cases. The advantage in xG (1.58 vs 1.26) and goal difference (+6 for the hosts, -7 for the visitors) further confirm Millwall's clear dominance, making a home win the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Blackburn Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Millwall · 0.8 pts / match - Blackburn Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Millwall · 0.92 goals / match - Blackburn Rovers
Millwall is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Millwall · 1.3 goals / match - Blackburn Rovers
Millwall scores in 81% of matches (30 of 37 matches), while Blackburn Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 matches).
Blackburn Rovers scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 41% (15 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Millwall
Over / Under - Blackburn Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.49 pts / match - Millwall · 1.24 pts / match - Blackburn Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Blackburn Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Millwall
Blackburn Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Blackburn Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.49 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 49% | 50% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Millwall 0 - 0 - 1 Blackburn Rovers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers?
The Championship match finished Millwall 1:2 Blackburn Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers?
Millwall score 1.38 goals per game on average and Blackburn Rovers 0.92. The Championship average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Millwall's matches and 49% of Blackburn Rovers's.
What form are Millwall and Blackburn Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Blackburn Rovers 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.