England - ChampionshipThe DenData current as of 03 September 2026

Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Millwall play Bolton Wanderers in Championship (England). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: The Den.

Current form

Millwall: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Millwall scores 1.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.00 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Millwall 25%, Bolton Wanderers 50%. Over 2.5: Millwall 75%, Bolton Wanderers 50%. League level: BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

Millwall has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.54. Millwall: 15.5 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 14.0.

Match halves

Millwall: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25.

Goals by minute

Millwall: 46-60 (2 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.57)
(3.86)
(5.75)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MillwallBolton Wanderers
1.5Goals scored / match1
MillwallBolton Wanderers
2Goals conceded / match1.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
51%Average possession54%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
3.75Shots on target / match4.5
MillwallBolton Wanderers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.5Shots per match14
MillwallBolton Wanderers
3.75Shots on target4.5
MillwallBolton Wanderers
9.7%Shot conversion7.1%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
51%Possession54%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
1.59xG for1.54
MillwallBolton Wanderers
1.2xG against1.44
MillwallBolton Wanderers

Shooting quality

Millwall: AttackingBolton Wanderers: Attacking
MillwallBolton Wanderers
Accuracy (shots on target)24%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Millwall is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.5 pts / match - Millwall · 1 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers

Millwall
WWLL
Season result split
50% W0% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-2
1.50 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-2
1.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 25%Over 2.5: 75%
Bolton Wanderers
WDLL
Season result split
25% W25% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Millwall is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Millwall · 1 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Millwall · 1.25 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers

Millwall scoring profile: very strong

Millwall scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

Bolton Wanderers scoring profile: mixed

Bolton Wanderers scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).

6Goals scored (season)4
MillwallBolton Wanderers
8Goals conceded (season)5
MillwallBolton Wanderers
3.5Average goals in match2.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
6Goals scored (last 5)4
MillwallBolton Wanderers
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
MillwallBolton Wanderers

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%2 goals50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%3 goals0%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
0%4 goals0%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%2 goals25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%3 goals25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%4 goals0%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

73%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
0%BTTS in both halves25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%Scored in both halves25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%BTTS - last 550%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Millwall - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing
Bolton Wanderers - half-time state
25% leading75% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.5
MillwallBolton Wanderers
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.75
MillwallBolton Wanderers
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
1.5Average goals (1st half)1
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%Clean sheet before half-time75%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%No goal before half-time50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)0.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
1.25Goals conceded (2nd half)1
MillwallBolton Wanderers
2Average goals (2nd half)1.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%Clean sheet after half-time25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%No goal after half-time75%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

Millwall - second-half results

50% W0% R50% P
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bolton Wanderers - second-half results

0% W25% R75% P
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Millwall - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.501.50
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.3
Average goals in match1.52.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals25%75%
3 goals25%25%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal25%50%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 50% leading - 0% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 3
Bolton Wanderers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.500.25
Goals scored / match0.80.3
Goals conceded / match0.31.0
Average goals in match1.01.3
1 goal50%75%
2 goals50%25%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet75%25%
No goal50%75%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 25% leading - 75% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 25% draw - 75% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Millwall
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Bolton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Millwall

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Bolton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

MillwallLigaBolton Wanderers
Average goals in match 3.502.94 2.25
Both teams scored 25%73% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%67% 50%
Clean sheets 50%18% 25%
Goal before half-time 100%79% 50%
Goal after half-time 100%79% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
73%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Millwall and Bolton Wanderers play?

Millwall face Bolton Wanderers on 5 September 2026 in Championship at The Den. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers?

Millwall score 1.50 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.00. The Championship average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Millwall's matches and 50% of Bolton Wanderers's.

What form are Millwall and Bolton Wanderers in?

Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers?

The statistical background for Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.