Millwall vs Bristol City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Millwall played Bristol City in Championship (England). The match was played on 29 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Millwall: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bristol City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Millwall scores 1.09 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Bristol City scores 1.39 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Millwall 43%, Bristol City 48%. Over 2.5: Millwall 43%, Bristol City 43%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Bristol City has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.42. Millwall: 12.5 shots per match, Bristol City: 13.7.

Match halves

Millwall: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61. Bristol City: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.52.

Goals by minute

Millwall: 31-45+ (6 goals). Bristol City: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
MillwallBristol City
8Shots16
MillwallBristol City
2Shots on target3
MillwallBristol City
0.89xG1.62
MillwallBristol City
1Corners8
MillwallBristol City
32Dangerous attacks54
MillwallBristol City
15Fouls8
MillwallBristol City
4Cards1
MillwallBristol City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MillwallBristol City
1.09Goals scored / match1.39
MillwallBristol City
1.35Goals conceded / match1.09
MillwallBristol City
46%Average possession46%
MillwallBristol City
4.09Shots on target / match4.35
MillwallBristol City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.52Shots per match13.7
MillwallBristol City
4.09Shots on target4.35
MillwallBristol City
8.7%Shot conversion10.2%
MillwallBristol City
46%Possession46%
MillwallBristol City
1.42xG for1.48
MillwallBristol City
1.4xG against1.53
MillwallBristol City

Shooting quality

Millwall: BalancedBristol City: Balanced
MillwallBristol City
Accuracy (shots on target)33%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bristol City is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Millwall · 1.4 pts / match - Bristol City

Millwall
WDLLD
Season result split
43% W26% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-7
1.57 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Bristol City
LDLWW
Season result split
43% W26% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-7
1.57 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bristol City is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.09 goals / match - Millwall · 1.39 goals / match - Bristol City

Bristol City is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.35 goals / match - Millwall · 1.09 goals / match - Bristol City

Millwall scoring profile: strong

Millwall scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

Bristol City scoring profile: strong

Bristol City scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

25Goals scored (season)32
MillwallBristol City
31Goals conceded (season)25
MillwallBristol City
2.43Average goals in match2.48
MillwallBristol City
3Goals scored (last 5)6
MillwallBristol City
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
MillwallBristol City

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal74%
MillwallBristol City
26%2 goals35%
MillwallBristol City
9%3 goals22%
MillwallBristol City
0%4 goals9%
MillwallBristol City

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal65%
MillwallBristol City
39%2 goals26%
MillwallBristol City
22%3 goals9%
MillwallBristol City
9%4 goals4%
MillwallBristol City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time17%
MillwallBristol City
4%BTTS in both halves4%
MillwallBristol City
9%Scored in both halves22%
MillwallBristol City

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
MillwallBristol City
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
MillwallBristol City
40%BTTS - last 540%
MillwallBristol City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
MillwallBristol City
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
MillwallBristol City
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
MillwallBristol City

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
MillwallBristol City
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
MillwallBristol City
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
MillwallBristol City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bristol City is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.26 pts / match - Millwall · 1.74 pts / match - Bristol City

Millwall - half-time state
26% leading48% draw26% trailing
Bristol City - half-time state
48% leading30% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.26Points per match (1st half)1.74
MillwallBristol City
0.48Goals scored (1st half)0.87
MillwallBristol City
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
MillwallBristol City
1Average goals (1st half)1.43
MillwallBristol City
61%Clean sheet before half-time61%
MillwallBristol City
61%No goal before half-time43%
MillwallBristol City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.17
MillwallBristol City
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.52
MillwallBristol City
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.52
MillwallBristol City
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.04
MillwallBristol City
52%Clean sheet after half-time57%
MillwallBristol City
57%No goal after half-time61%
MillwallBristol City

Millwall - second-half results

26% W48% D26% L
29
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bristol City - second-half results

26% W39% D35% L
40
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.74
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 43%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Millwall - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Bristol City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Millwall
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
2
3
16-30
6
4
31-45
3
6
46-60
5
2
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Bristol City
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
8
6
16-30
8
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Millwall

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Bristol City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

MillwallLigaBristol City
Average goals in match 2.432.63 2.48
Both teams scored 43%59% 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%51% 43%
Clean sheets 35%23% 35%
Goal before half-time 65%74% 78%
Goal after half-time 65%78% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MillwallGoalCamiel Neghli
  2. MillwallYellow cardAlfie Doughty
  3. MillwallYellow cardZack Sturge
  4. MillwallYellow cardTristan Crama
  5. MillwallSubstitutionOn: Ryan LeonardOff: Billy Mitchell
  6. Bristol CityGoalAdam RandellAssist: Ross McCrorie
  7. MillwallSubstitutionOn: Macaulay LangstaffOff: Raees Bangura-Williams
  8. MillwallSubstitutionOn: Dan McNamaraOff: Aidomo Emakhu
  9. MillwallGoalMacaulay Langstaff
  10. MillwallYellow cardThierno Ballo
  11. Bristol CityYellow cardVivaldo Borges dos Santos Neto
  12. Bristol CitySubstitutionOn: Yu HirakawaOff: Scott Twine

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

David WebbMatches officiated: 24
2.75Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 242%Home wins38%Draws21%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Millwall 1 - 0 - 0 Bristol City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Millwall vs Bristol City?

The Championship match finished Millwall 2:1 Bristol City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Bristol City?

Millwall score 1.09 goals per game on average and Bristol City 1.39. The Championship average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Millwall's matches and 48% of Bristol City's.

What form are Millwall and Bristol City in?

Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bristol City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Bristol City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.