Millwall vs Lincoln City: match statistics
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Millwall vs Lincoln City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Millwall play Lincoln City in Championship (England). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: The Den.
Current form
Millwall: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Lincoln City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Millwall scores 1.60 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Lincoln City scores 0.78 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millwall 40%, Lincoln City 44%. Over 2.5: Millwall 70%, Lincoln City 44%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Millwall has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.31. Millwall: 13.9 shots per match, Lincoln City: 12.6.
Match halves
Millwall: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.80. Lincoln City: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Millwall: 76-90+ (5 goals). Lincoln City: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lincoln City is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Millwall · 1.4 pts / match - Lincoln City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall is 105% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Millwall · 0.78 goals / match - Lincoln City
Lincoln City is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Millwall · 1.22 goals / match - Lincoln City
Millwall scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
Lincoln City scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Millwall
Over / Under - Lincoln City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Millwall · 1.11 pts / match - Lincoln City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lincoln City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Millwall
Lincoln City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.20 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 66% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 20% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Millwall and Lincoln City play?
Millwall face Lincoln City on 17 October 2026 in Championship at The Den. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Lincoln City?
Millwall score 1.60 goals per game on average and Lincoln City 0.78. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Millwall's matches and 44% of Lincoln City's.
What form are Millwall and Lincoln City in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lincoln City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Lincoln City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Millwall vs Lincoln City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.