Millwall vs Portsmouth: match statistics
Millwall displays decisively better home form with a 56% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +4 in home matches. Portsmouth has significant away problems, losing as many as 47% of their away matches and recording a negative goal difference of -12, which, combined with a mere 20% away win rate, puts them in a difficult situation. The hosts boast superior offensive statistics with an average of 1.38 goals per home match and a higher xG (1.63 vs 1.04), suggesting greater efficiency in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Millwall occupies 3rd place in the table, while Portsmouth sits in 20th position, further confirming the difference in class between the sides. The recent form of both teams (Millwall: LWDWW vs Portsmouth: DWLLW) also favors the hosts, who have averaged 2.0 points per match over the last five games compared to the visitors' 1.4.
Millwall vs Portsmouth: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Millwall played Portsmouth in Championship (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Millwall: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Portsmouth: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Millwall scores 1.28 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Portsmouth scores 0.97 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millwall 47%, Portsmouth 48%. Over 2.5: Millwall 47%, Portsmouth 42%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Millwall has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.37. Millwall: 13.0 shots per match, Portsmouth: 12.3.
Match halves
Millwall: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78. Portsmouth: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Millwall: 76-90+ (13 goals). Portsmouth: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Millwall displays decisively better home form with a 56% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +4 in home matches. Portsmouth has significant away problems, losing as many as 47% of their away matches and recording a negative goal difference of -12, which, combined with a mere 20% away win rate, puts them in a difficult situation. The hosts boast superior offensive statistics with an average of 1.38 goals per home match and a higher xG (1.63 vs 1.04), suggesting greater efficiency in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Millwall occupies 3rd place in the table, while Portsmouth sits in 20th position, further confirming the difference in class between the sides. The recent form of both teams (Millwall: LWDWW vs Portsmouth: DWLLW) also favors the hosts, who have averaged 2.0 points per match over the last five games compared to the visitors' 1.4.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Portsmouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Millwall · 1.4 pts / match - Portsmouth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Millwall · 0.97 goals / match - Portsmouth
Millwall is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Millwall · 1.29 goals / match - Portsmouth
Millwall scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Portsmouth keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
Portsmouth scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Millwall
Over / Under - Portsmouth
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Millwall · 1.13 pts / match - Portsmouth
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Portsmouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Millwall
Portsmouth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Portsmouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Millwall 0 - 0 - 1 Portsmouth. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Millwall vs Portsmouth?
The Championship match finished Millwall 1:3 Portsmouth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Portsmouth?
Millwall score 1.28 goals per game on average and Portsmouth 0.97. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Millwall's matches and 48% of Portsmouth's.
What form are Millwall and Portsmouth in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Portsmouth 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Portsmouth?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Millwall vs Portsmouth: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.