Millwall vs Sheffield United: match statistics
Millwall are in significantly better home form with a 60% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive 47% clean sheet record. The hosts have won three of their last five matches, scoring 10 goals, which indicates good offensive form. Sheffield United have a catastrophic away record – 67% losses, 0% draws, and only 33% wins, with a negative goal difference of -9 in away matches. Furthermore, the visitors are incapable of keeping a clean sheet (only 13% CS%) and concede an average of 1.8 goals per away match. The xG statistics also speak in favor of Millwall (1.63 vs 1.26), confirming their qualitative advantage. Considering all factors, a home victory is the most likely scenario, although Sheffield United are capable of scoring, which could result in a competitive match.
Millwall vs Sheffield United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Millwall played Sheffield United in Championship (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Millwall: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sheffield United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Millwall scores 1.24 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Sheffield United scores 1.39 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millwall 45%, Sheffield United 43%. Over 2.5: Millwall 48%, Sheffield United 57%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Sheffield United has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.46. Millwall: 12.9 shots per match, Sheffield United: 13.4.
Match halves
Millwall: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.72. Sheffield United: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Millwall: 76-90+ (12 goals). Sheffield United: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Millwall are in significantly better home form with a 60% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive 47% clean sheet record. The hosts have won three of their last five matches, scoring 10 goals, which indicates good offensive form. Sheffield United have a catastrophic away record – 67% losses, 0% draws, and only 33% wins, with a negative goal difference of -9 in away matches. Furthermore, the visitors are incapable of keeping a clean sheet (only 13% CS%) and concede an average of 1.8 goals per away match. The xG statistics also speak in favor of Millwall (1.63 vs 1.26), confirming their qualitative advantage. Considering all factors, a home victory is the most likely scenario, although Sheffield United are capable of scoring, which could result in a competitive match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Sheffield United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Millwall · 1.8 pts / match - Sheffield United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheffield United is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Millwall · 1.39 goals / match - Sheffield United
Millwall is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Millwall · 1.46 goals / match - Sheffield United
Millwall scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Sheffield United keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Sheffield United scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Millwall
Over / Under - Sheffield United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheffield United is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Millwall · 1.54 pts / match - Sheffield United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sheffield United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Millwall
Sheffield United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Sheffield United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 57% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 72% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Millwall 1 - 0 - 0 Sheffield United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Millwall vs Sheffield United?
The Championship match finished Millwall 1:1 Sheffield United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Sheffield United?
Millwall score 1.24 goals per game on average and Sheffield United 1.39. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Millwall's matches and 43% of Sheffield United's.
What form are Millwall and Sheffield United in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sheffield United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Sheffield United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.