England - ChampionshipThe DenData current as of 19 September 2026

Millwall vs West Ham United: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Millwall vs West Ham United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Millwall play West Ham United in Championship (England). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: The Den.

Current form

Millwall: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. West Ham United: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Millwall scores 1.86 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. West Ham United scores 2.86 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.86 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Millwall 43%, West Ham United 71%. Over 2.5: Millwall 86%, West Ham United 86%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

West Ham United has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.48. Millwall: 14.4 shots per match, West Ham United: 15.9.

Match halves

Millwall: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.00. West Ham United: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.57.

Goals by minute

Millwall: 76-90+ (4 goals). West Ham United: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.80)
(3.85)
(1.80)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MillwallWest Ham United
1.86Goals scored / match2.86
MillwallWest Ham United
1.86Goals conceded / match1.29
MillwallWest Ham United
45%Average possession56%
MillwallWest Ham United
3.71Shots on target / match5.86
MillwallWest Ham United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.43Shots per match15.86
MillwallWest Ham United
3.71Shots on target5.86
MillwallWest Ham United
12.9%Shot conversion18%
MillwallWest Ham United
45%Possession56%
MillwallWest Ham United
1.48xG for1.77
MillwallWest Ham United
1.52xG against1.31
MillwallWest Ham United

Shooting quality

Millwall: Counter-attackingWest Ham United: Dominant
MillwallWest Ham United
Accuracy (shots on target)26%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.49

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

West Ham United is 225% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Millwall · 2.6 pts / match - West Ham United

Millwall
LLWLD
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
WLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
West Ham United
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
57% W29% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 away
1-2-0
DDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

West Ham United is 54% better for: goals scored per match.

1.86 goals / match - Millwall · 2.86 goals / match - West Ham United

West Ham United is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.86 goals / match - Millwall · 1.29 goals / match - West Ham United

Millwall scoring profile: very strong

Millwall scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while West Ham United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

West Ham United scoring profile: very strong

West Ham United scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

13Goals scored (season)20
MillwallWest Ham United
13Goals conceded (season)9
MillwallWest Ham United
3.71Average goals in match4.14
MillwallWest Ham United
8Goals scored (last 5)17
MillwallWest Ham United
13Goals conceded (last 5)5
MillwallWest Ham United

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal100%
MillwallWest Ham United
57%2 goals71%
MillwallWest Ham United
29%3 goals57%
MillwallWest Ham United
14%4 goals29%
MillwallWest Ham United

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal71%
MillwallWest Ham United
57%2 goals57%
MillwallWest Ham United
43%3 goals0%
MillwallWest Ham United
14%4 goals0%
MillwallWest Ham United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

66%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time43%
MillwallWest Ham United
0%BTTS in both halves14%
MillwallWest Ham United
43%Scored in both halves71%
MillwallWest Ham United

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
MillwallWest Ham United
43%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
MillwallWest Ham United
60%BTTS - last 560%
MillwallWest Ham United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
MillwallWest Ham United
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time57%
MillwallWest Ham United
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
MillwallWest Ham United

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
MillwallWest Ham United
86%Min. 2 goals after half-time71%
MillwallWest Ham United
43%Min. 3 goals after half-time43%
MillwallWest Ham United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

West Ham United is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.71 pts / match - Millwall · 2 pts / match - West Ham United

Millwall - half-time state
57% leading0% draw43% trailing
West Ham United - half-time state
57% leading29% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per match (1st half)2
MillwallWest Ham United
0.86Goals scored (1st half)1.29
MillwallWest Ham United
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
MillwallWest Ham United
1.43Average goals (1st half)2
MillwallWest Ham United
57%Clean sheet before half-time43%
MillwallWest Ham United
29%No goal before half-time14%
MillwallWest Ham United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)2
MillwallWest Ham United
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.57
MillwallWest Ham United
1.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
MillwallWest Ham United
2.29Average goals (2nd half)2.14
MillwallWest Ham United
43%Clean sheet after half-time57%
MillwallWest Ham United
43%No goal after half-time14%
MillwallWest Ham United

Millwall - second-half results

43% W0% D57% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 43%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

West Ham United - second-half results

57% W29% D14% L
14
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Millwall - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.8
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
West Ham United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.60
Goals scored / match1.61.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match2.42.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+4+8
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Millwall
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
4
46-60
0
3
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

West Ham United
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
4
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 2.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
138%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
86%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Millwall

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

West Ham United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
231%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

MillwallLigaWest Ham United
Average goals in match 3.712.86 4.14
Both teams scored 43%66% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 86%63% 86%
Clean sheets 43%21% 29%
Goal before half-time 100%78% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%76% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.86
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Millwall and West Ham United play?

Millwall face West Ham United on 19 September 2026 in Championship at The Den. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs West Ham United?

Millwall score 1.86 goals per game on average and West Ham United 2.86. The Championship average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Millwall's matches and 71% of West Ham United's.

What form are Millwall and West Ham United in?

Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and West Ham United 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs West Ham United?

The statistical background for Millwall vs West Ham United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.