Milton Keynes Dons vs Fleetwood Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Milton Keynes Dons played Fleetwood Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Milton Keynes Dons: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Fleetwood Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.94 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Fleetwood Town scores 1.53 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Milton Keynes Dons 65%, Fleetwood Town 76%. Over 2.5: Milton Keynes Dons 65%, Fleetwood Town 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Fleetwood Town has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.27. Milton Keynes Dons: 10.8 shots per match, Fleetwood Town: 12.2.

Match halves

Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.12. Fleetwood Town: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Milton Keynes Dons: 76-90+ (9 goals). Fleetwood Town: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
19Shots8
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
5Shots on target4
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
1.95xG1.09
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
6Corners2
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
56Dangerous attacks39
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
13Fouls14
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
2Cards0
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
1.94Goals scored / match1.53
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
1.12Goals conceded / match1.41
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
50%Average possession46%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
4.12Shots on target / match4.41
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.76Shots per match12.24
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
4.12Shots on target4.41
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
18%Shot conversion12.5%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
50%Possession46%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
1.27xG for1.38
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
1.25xG against1.65
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

Shooting quality

Milton Keynes Dons: Efficient finishingFleetwood Town: Counter-attacking
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
Accuracy (shots on target)38%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.470.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Milton Keynes Dons
WLDWD
Season result split
47% W29% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-4
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Fleetwood Town
DWLDW
Season result split
41% W29% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-5
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Milton Keynes Dons is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.94 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.53 goals / match - Fleetwood Town

Milton Keynes Dons is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.12 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.41 goals / match - Fleetwood Town

Milton Keynes Dons scoring profile: very strong

Milton Keynes Dons scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).

Fleetwood Town scoring profile: very strong

Fleetwood Town scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

33Goals scored (season)26
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
19Goals conceded (season)24
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
3.06Average goals in match2.94
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
10Goals scored (last 5)8
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal88%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
65%2 goals41%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
24%3 goals18%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
12%4 goals6%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal88%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
35%2 goals41%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
6%3 goals6%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
0%4 goals6%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
Milton Keynes Dons - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 17 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time41%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
0%BTTS in both halves12%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
41%Scored in both halves29%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time53%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Milton Keynes Dons is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.65 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.24 pts / match - Fleetwood Town

Milton Keynes Dons - half-time state
47% leading24% draw29% trailing
Fleetwood Town - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.65Points per match (1st half)1.24
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
1.41Average goals (1st half)1.41
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
65%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
41%No goal before half-time35%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.82Points per match (2nd half)1.29
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
1.12Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
1.65Average goals (2nd half)1.53
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
59%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
29%No goal after half-time47%
Milton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town

Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results

53% W24% D24% L
28
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fleetwood Town - second-half results

29% W41% D29% L
21
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Milton Keynes Dons - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Fleetwood Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Milton Keynes Dons
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
3
5
16-30
5
1
31-45
6
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Fleetwood Town
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
5
16-30
4
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
7
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Milton Keynes Dons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.80
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.67
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Fleetwood Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Milton Keynes DonsLigaFleetwood Town
Average goals in match 3.062.65 2.94
Both teams scored 65%56% 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%49% 53%
Clean sheets 29%25% 12%
Goal before half-time 82%70% 82%
Goal after half-time 94%75% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Milton Keynes DonsGoalNathaniel Mendez-Laing
  2. Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardMarvin Ekpiteta
  3. Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardNathaniel Mendez-Laing
  4. Milton Keynes DonsGoalAaron Evans Nemane
  5. Fleetwood TownGoalChed EvansAssist: Ryan Graydon
  6. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Jon MellishOff: Joe Tomlinson
  7. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: William Guy CollarOff: Kane Thompson-Sommers

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Andrew HumphriesMatches officiated: 9
3.67Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 267%Home wins0%Draws33%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Milton Keynes Dons vs Fleetwood Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 Fleetwood Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Milton Keynes Dons vs Fleetwood Town?

Milton Keynes Dons score 1.94 goals per game on average and Fleetwood Town 1.53. The EFL League Two average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Milton Keynes Dons's matches and 76% of Fleetwood Town's.

What form are Milton Keynes Dons and Fleetwood Town in?

Over the last 5 games Milton Keynes Dons have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Fleetwood Town 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Milton Keynes Dons vs Fleetwood Town?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.