Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún: match statistics
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mineros de Zacatecas played Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Mineros de Zacatecas: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Cancún: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mineros de Zacatecas scores 2.09 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Cancún scores 1.73 and concedes 1.36. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mineros de Zacatecas 55%, Cancún 45%. Over 2.5: Mineros de Zacatecas 73%, Cancún 55%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Cancún has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.42. Mineros de Zacatecas: 12.1 shots per match, Cancún: 14.7.
Match halves
Mineros de Zacatecas: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.45. Cancún: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Mineros de Zacatecas: 76-90+ (8 goals). Cancún: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mineros de Zacatecas have won 67% of their home matches, while Cancún have won just 20% of their away games. The hosts average 2.67 goals per match on home soil, and the visitors concede 2.2 goals per game away from home, pointing to Mineros’ attacking threat. The difference is also reflected in the quality of chances: Mineros’ home xG is 1.26, while Cancún’s away xG against stands at 1.97, although the hosts are scoring significantly more goals than their chances would suggest. The visitors have been more consistent recently—losing once in their last five matches compared with three defeats for Mineros—and have scored 8 goals in that span, against the hosts’ 6. Nevertheless, home advantage and Cancún’s away goal difference of −5 point to a Mineros win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Mineros average 2.17 goals at home, while Cancún concede 2.2 on the road, making a home goal highly likely. The visitors have failed to score in none of their away matches, and have averaged 1.6 goals across their last five games. Although Mineros have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches, they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals in their last five games, weakening the case for another clean sheet. The teams’ BTTS rates differ considerably—17% for Mineros and 80% for Cancún—but the visitors’ current scoring form and defensive vulnerability slightly favor BTTS - Yes this time.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Mineros average 2.17 goals at home and post an xG of 2.19, while Cancún concede an average of 2.20 goals away from home. The hosts also average 7.5 shots on target, supporting a forecast of around 2.10 goals from them. Cancún score 1.20 goals per away match, although Mineros’ 67% home clean-sheet rate limits expectations for the visitors to around 1.00 goal. At least two goals were scored in 83% of Mineros’ home matches and 80% of Cancún’s away matches, making Over 1.5 a stronger pick than Over 2.5, which landed in 50% and 60% of those matches, respectively.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to a draw at half-time: Cancún were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with Mineros in 2 of 5; both teams averaged 0.4 goals before half-time over this period. After the break, the hosts should have the edge: they average 1.5 second-half goals at home, while Cancún concede an average of 1.4 away from home. Mineros’ case for a full-time win is also supported by their average of 2.17 goals scored at home, compared with 2.2 goals conceded by the visitors away, as well as their xG advantage: 2.19 to 1.22. However, the X/1 pick is not certain, as Cancún have averaged 1.6 points per match over their last 5 games, compared with 1.2 for Mineros; despite this difference, the two teams’ half-by-half profiles at their respective venues most strongly support a draw at the break and a home win after 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cancún is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.6 pts / match - Cancún
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
2.09 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.73 goals / match - Cancún
Cancún is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.36 goals / match - Cancún
Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
Cancún scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mineros de Zacatecas
Over / Under - Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.27 pts / match - Cancún
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mineros de Zacatecas
Cancún
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.82 | 3.26 | ▼ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 23% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mineros de Zacatecas 0 - 1 - 1 Cancún. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún?
The Ascenso MX match finished Mineros de Zacatecas 2:2 Cancún. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mineros de Zacatecas and Cancún?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mineros de Zacatecas won 0, Cancún won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún?
Mineros de Zacatecas score 2.09 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.73. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Mineros de Zacatecas's matches and 45% of Cancún's.
What form are Mineros de Zacatecas and Cancún in?
Over the last 5 games Mineros de Zacatecas have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Cancún 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.