Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Mineros de Zacatecas presents solid home form with a 58% draw rate and only an 8% home loss rate, alongside an average of 1.75 goals scored per match. CDS Tampico Madero, despite a better overall record (15 wins), shows weaker efficiency on the road - a 43% draw rate and only a 36% win rate with an average of just 1 goal per game. The form over the last five matches favors the visitors (1.8 points per game vs the hosts' 0.8), but their away goal-scoring difficulties (29% of matches without a goal) could be crucial. Taking into account the hosts' possession advantage (57% vs 52%) and the balanced xG values of both teams, I expect a fiercely contested match ending in a sharing of points.
Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mineros de Zacatecas played CDS Tampico Madero in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mineros de Zacatecas: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. CDS Tampico Madero: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mineros de Zacatecas scores 1.58 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. CDS Tampico Madero scores 1.41 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mineros de Zacatecas 63%, CDS Tampico Madero 56%. Over 2.5: Mineros de Zacatecas 63%, CDS Tampico Madero 44%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Mineros de Zacatecas has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.37. Mineros de Zacatecas: 13.5 shots per match, CDS Tampico Madero: 12.3.
Match halves
Mineros de Zacatecas: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.67. CDS Tampico Madero: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Mineros de Zacatecas: 31-45+ (12 goals). CDS Tampico Madero: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Mineros de Zacatecas presents solid home form with a 58% draw rate and only an 8% home loss rate, alongside an average of 1.75 goals scored per match. CDS Tampico Madero, despite a better overall record (15 wins), shows weaker efficiency on the road - a 43% draw rate and only a 36% win rate with an average of just 1 goal per game. The form over the last five matches favors the visitors (1.8 points per game vs the hosts' 0.8), but their away goal-scoring difficulties (29% of matches without a goal) could be crucial. Taking into account the hosts' possession advantage (57% vs 52%) and the balanced xG values of both teams, I expect a fiercely contested match ending in a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mineros de Zacatecas | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CDS Tampico Madero is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.8 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.41 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero
Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while CDS Tampico Madero keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
CDS Tampico Madero scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mineros de Zacatecas
Over / Under - CDS Tampico Madero
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CDS Tampico Madero - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mineros de Zacatecas
CDS Tampico Madero
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 54% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mineros de Zacatecas 0 - 1 - 0 CDS Tampico Madero. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero?
The Ascenso MX match finished Mineros de Zacatecas 1:0 CDS Tampico Madero. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Mineros de Zacatecas score 1.58 goals per game on average and CDS Tampico Madero 1.41. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Mineros de Zacatecas's matches and 56% of CDS Tampico Madero's.
What form are Mineros de Zacatecas and CDS Tampico Madero in?
Over the last 5 games Mineros de Zacatecas have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CDS Tampico Madero 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero?
The statistical background for Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.