Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío: match statistics
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mineros de Zacatecas played Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Mineros de Zacatecas: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Tapatío: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mineros de Zacatecas scores 1.62 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Tapatío scores 1.75 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mineros de Zacatecas 62%, Tapatío 67%. Over 2.5: Mineros de Zacatecas 62%, Tapatío 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Mineros de Zacatecas has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.44. Mineros de Zacatecas: 13.4 shots per match, Tapatío: 12.3.
Match halves
Mineros de Zacatecas: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.65. Tapatío: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Mineros de Zacatecas: 31-45+ (12 goals). Tapatío: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis favors Mineros de Zacatecas, especially at home: higher average shots (15.31 vs 10.58), SOT (5.46 vs 3.58), higher xG (1.70 vs 1.27) and goals (1.69 vs 1.33). Hosts are more defensively stable at home (1.08 GA vs opponents' 1.58 away) and have a substantially higher CS% rate. Tapatío struggle away: lower possession, higher xG against and a high away loss rate. Their share of matches without scoring is also higher (33% vs 15%), reducing their chances. Considering form and statistical home advantage, I predict a Mineros win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high season BTTS (Mineros 67%, Tapatío 67%) and the league favors scoring matches (55%). Tapatío L5 BTTS 100%, Mineros rarely fail to score at home (only 8% blank). xG and goal averages back offensive outlook: Mineros xG_for 1.58 and 2.17 avg goals; Tapatío high xG_against 1.98 and 1.33 away goals. Low away CS for Tapatío (8%) and strong recent mutual scoring point to BTTS. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Stat analysis points to a high-scoring match: home xG 1.58 and opponent conceded away 1.98 yield ~1.78 expected for Mineros; conversely Tapatío avg xG 1.27 and home conceded 1.43 -> ~1.35. Total expected ~3.13 and high BTTS (67%/67%) suggest strong chance of at least two goals. Home attack is potent (14.08 shots, 5.42 SOT) and home Over1.5 is high (92%); visitors also often play multi-goal games. Poisson for λ=3.13 gives ~82% Over1.5 and ~61% Over2.5; recommendation: Over 1.5 as strongest signal. Risk: form drift, but season and xG support the over.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mineros de Zacatecas display markedly better home stats (58% wins, 58% HT leads, HT scoredAVG 1.0 vs 0.75 for opponents) and higher xG and shots on target; this indicates a strong advantage from the first half. Tapatío have a low away win rate (17%) and higher xG against, suggesting vulnerability to conceding under increased pressure. Seasonal goal profiles show hosts often lead at Half-Time and convert to Full-Time wins; BTTS is moderate but Mineros’ shooting superiority is key. Considering the HT lead distribution (58% home leads) and FT conversion, the strongest signal is HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.4 pts / match - Tapatío
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tapatío is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.75 goals / match - Tapatío
Tapatío is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.46 goals / match - Tapatío
Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Tapatío scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mineros de Zacatecas
Over / Under - Tapatío
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.54 pts / match - Tapatío
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 35%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mineros de Zacatecas
Tapatío
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 0 - 0 Tapatío. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?
The Ascenso MX match finished Mineros de Zacatecas 2:1 Tapatío. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?
Mineros de Zacatecas score 1.62 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.75. The Ascenso MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Mineros de Zacatecas's matches and 67% of Tapatío's.
What form are Mineros de Zacatecas and Tapatío in?
Over the last 5 games Mineros de Zacatecas have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tapatío 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.