Minnesota United II vs Austin II: match statistics
Minnesota United II vs Austin II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Minnesota United II played Austin II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 14 June 2026. Venue: Allianz Field. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Minnesota United II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Austin II: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Minnesota United II scores 1.31 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Austin II scores 2.00 and concedes 0.75. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Minnesota United II 46%, Austin II 42%. Over 2.5: Minnesota United II 46%, Austin II 42%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Austin II has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.67. Minnesota United II: 14.5 shots per match, Austin II: 14.7.
Match halves
Minnesota United II: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69. Austin II: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Minnesota United II: 16-30 (4 goals). Austin II: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
My prediction: Austin II to win (pick '2'). Austin II are in excellent form: 5 wins in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals in that period (2.8 per game) and conceding only 1 goal (0.2 per game). Minnesota United II over their last 5 matches have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring 8 goals (1.6 per game) and at home averaging 1.33 goals scored with 1.0 conceded per game. The visitors are better in efficiency — they have a 12% conversion rate and average 7 shots on target per game versus the hosts’ 9% and 6 shots on target — and defensively (on the road they concede 0.2 goals on average with 80% clean sheets versus the hosts’ 1.0 and 50%). Considering league positions (3rd vs 15th), recent form points per game (3.0 for Austin vs 1.4 for Minnesota) and the difference in quality of chances (xG), the visitors are the clear favorites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No based on strong defensive indicators from Austin II: 80% clean sheets this season and an average of 0.2 goals conceded per game (9 goals conceded this season). Minnesota United II scores an average of 2.14 goals at home and has a season BTTS rate of 57%; in the last 5 matches they averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, showing they can create chances but are also vulnerable. xG analysis is mixed: Minnesota’s attacking xG is 1.64 versus Austin’s xG against of 1.53, and in Minnesota’s last 5 games xG was 1.73 compared to Austin’s xG against of 1.36 — so opportunities exist, but Austin converts those defensive opportunities into clean sheets. Austin averages 7.0 shots on target per game compared to Minnesota’s 5.0 and has scored 14 goals while conceding just 1 in the last 5 matches, reinforcing the expectation of a win with a clean sheet. Considering the league BTTS level of 61% and Minnesota’s offensive case, but weighing Austin’s clear defensive edge (80% clean sheets, 0.2 goals conceded), I estimate BTTS probability at ~35% and No BTTS at ~65%, therefore my recommendation: No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis points strongly toward a higher goal tally: combined expected goals (xG) total 3.09 (1.59 for the home side and 1.50 for the away). Minnesota United II scores on average 2.14 goals per home game with an xG of 1.64 and 5.0 shots on target, while Austin II has an xG against of 1.53, 80% clean sheets, but also averages 7.0 shots on target. Austin II’s attacking xG is 1.89 and they score 1.8 goals per game season-to-date, and the league averages 3.21 goals per match, reinforcing the scoring trend. Although Austin concedes only 0.2 goals on average and has a low BTTS rate (20%), the gap between the low actual goals conceded (0.2) and xG against of 1.53 suggests chances will be created and may convert. Therefore the best market to play is Over 1.5, since the combined xG of 3.09 and high season Over 1.5 rates (86% for Minnesota and 80% for Austin) provide the strongest and most consistent signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2). Austin II has an 80% win rate this season and has won all of their last 5 matches (100%), which strongly supports an eventual away victory. I expect a draw at the break: the home side average 0.71 goals by half-time, the away side 0.8, and clean halves to half-time occur for the home team in 86% and for the away team in 80% of cases, indicating a low number of goals before the break. The second half is where the stats give the edge — the away team’s xG is 1.89 versus the home team’s 1.64, and in the last 5 matches the away side averaged 2.0 goals after half-time compared to 0.8 for the home side, with the away team conceding on average around 0.2 goals per match; therefore I assess X/2 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Minnesota United II | Austin II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Austin II is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Minnesota United II · 3 pts / match - Austin II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Austin II is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Minnesota United II · 2 goals / match - Austin II
Austin II is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Minnesota United II · 0.75 goals / match - Austin II
Minnesota United II scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Austin II keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).
Austin II scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Minnesota United II keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Minnesota United II
Over / Under - Austin II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Austin II is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Minnesota United II · 1.67 pts / match - Austin II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Minnesota United II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Austin II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +9 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Minnesota United II
Austin II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Minnesota United II | Liga | Austin II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.62 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 62% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 65% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 21% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 83% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Minnesota United II 3 - 1 - 0 Austin II. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Minnesota United II vs Austin II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Minnesota United II 1:3 Austin II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Minnesota United II and Austin II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Minnesota United II won 3, Austin II won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Minnesota United II vs Austin II?
Minnesota United II score 1.31 goals per game on average and Austin II 2.00. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Minnesota United II's matches and 42% of Austin II's.
What form are Minnesota United II and Austin II in?
Over the last 5 games Minnesota United II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Austin II 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Minnesota United II vs Austin II?
The statistical background for Minnesota United II vs Austin II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.