Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance: match statistics
Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Minnesota United II play Tacoma Defiance in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 29 June 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Minnesota United II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Tacoma Defiance: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Minnesota United II scores 1.40 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Tacoma Defiance scores 1.21 and concedes 1.37. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Minnesota United II 50%, Tacoma Defiance 42%. Over 2.5: Minnesota United II 55%, Tacoma Defiance 53%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Minnesota United II has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.36. Minnesota United II: 13.5 shots per match, Tacoma Defiance: 11.7.
Match halves
Minnesota United II: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.75. Tacoma Defiance: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Minnesota United II: 61-75 (7 goals). Tacoma Defiance: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The favorites are the hosts Minnesota United II: at home they average 1.75 goals per match and have an average xG of 1.93, while Tacoma Defiance score only 0.83 goals on average in away matches with an xG of 1.24. Minnesota generates significantly more high-quality chances — averaging 15.75 shots and 6.38 on target per home match versus 11 shots and just 2.5 on target for Tacoma — which is also reflected in the higher conversion rate (11% vs 8%). Defensively the hosts concede 1.38 goals at home and keep 38% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede 2.00 goals on average away, have a -7 goal difference on the road and only 17% clean sheets; additionally Tacoma fail to score in 50% of away matches (vs 25% for the hosts). Trends are mixed: Tacoma have won 4 of their last 5 matches overall and average 2.4 points per match in their last 5, but their away statistics (67% away losses) indicate problems on the road, while Minnesota have 3 wins in their last 5 and 1.8 points per match. Considering the home advantage in xG, shot volume, lower average goals conceded and lower share of home matches without a goal, I assess the probabilities as: home win 65%, draw 20%, away win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Minnesota United II | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tacoma Defiance is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Minnesota United II · 2 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Minnesota United II is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Minnesota United II · 1.21 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance
Tacoma Defiance is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Minnesota United II · 1.37 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance
Minnesota United II scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Tacoma Defiance keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Tacoma Defiance scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Minnesota United II keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Minnesota United II
Over / Under — Tacoma Defiance
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Minnesota United II is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Minnesota United II · 1.05 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Minnesota United II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tacoma Defiance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Minnesota United II
Tacoma Defiance
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Minnesota United II | Liga | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 65% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 22% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 84% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Minnesota United II 0 - 2 - 0 Tacoma Defiance. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Minnesota United II 2:2 Tacoma Defiance. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Minnesota United II and Tacoma Defiance?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Minnesota United II won 0, Tacoma Defiance won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Minnesota United II score 1.40 goals per game on average and Tacoma Defiance 1.21. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Minnesota United II's matches and 42% of Tacoma Defiance's.
What form are Minnesota United II and Tacoma Defiance in?
Over the last 5 games Minnesota United II have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tacoma Defiance 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
The statistical background for Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.