Mirandés vs Ceuta: match statistics
Mirandés are bottom of the table with just a 23% home win rate, scoring an average of only 0.92 goals per game at home. Ceuta have performed slightly better in their last five matches (1.8 points per game), but they win only 15% of their away matches and have a negative goal difference (-11). Both teams have a high percentage of defeats both away and at home (54% each), indicating their poor form in these contexts. The xG statistics are similar for both teams, and the high percentage of goalless matches (31% for the hosts, 38% for the visitors) suggests the possibility of a low-scoring game. Considering Mirandés' poor home form and Ceuta's away struggles, the most likely scenario is a closely contested match ending in a draw.
Mirandés vs Ceuta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mirandés played Ceuta in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mirandés: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ceuta: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mirandés scores 1.04 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Ceuta scores 1.30 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mirandés 63%, Ceuta 56%. Over 2.5: Mirandés 56%, Ceuta 56%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Ceuta has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.21. Mirandés: 11.2 shots per match, Ceuta: 11.0.
Match halves
Mirandés: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.63. Ceuta: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Mirandés: 46-60 (7 goals). Ceuta: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mirandés are bottom of the table with just a 23% home win rate, scoring an average of only 0.92 goals per game at home. Ceuta have performed slightly better in their last five matches (1.8 points per game), but they win only 15% of their away matches and have a negative goal difference (-11). Both teams have a high percentage of defeats both away and at home (54% each), indicating their poor form in these contexts. The xG statistics are similar for both teams, and the high percentage of goalless matches (31% for the hosts, 38% for the visitors) suggests the possibility of a low-scoring game. Considering Mirandés' poor home form and Ceuta's away struggles, the most likely scenario is a closely contested match ending in a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mirandés | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ceuta is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Mirandés · 1.8 pts / match - Ceuta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ceuta is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Mirandés · 1.3 goals / match - Ceuta
Ceuta is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Mirandés · 1.44 goals / match - Ceuta
Mirandés scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
Ceuta scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Mirandés keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mirandés
Over / Under - Ceuta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ceuta is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Mirandés · 1.3 pts / match - Ceuta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mirandés - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ceuta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mirandés
Ceuta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Mirandés | Liga | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.52 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 66% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 75% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mirandés 0 - 0 - 1 Ceuta. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mirandés vs Ceuta?
The Segunda División match finished Mirandés 0:1 Ceuta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mirandés vs Ceuta?
Mirandés score 1.04 goals per game on average and Ceuta 1.30. The Segunda División average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Mirandés's matches and 56% of Ceuta's.
What form are Mirandés and Ceuta in?
Over the last 5 games Mirandés have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ceuta 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mirandés vs Ceuta?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.