Mirassol vs Botafogo: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Mirassol vs Botafogo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mirassol play Botafogo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.
Current form
Mirassol: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Botafogo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mirassol scores 1.15 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Botafogo scores 1.52 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mirassol 70%, Botafogo 70%. Over 2.5: Mirassol 56%, Botafogo 67%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Botafogo has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.51. Mirassol: 13.7 shots per match, Botafogo: 14.3.
Match halves
Mirassol: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.52. Botafogo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Mirassol: 16-30 (8 goals). Botafogo: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mirassol | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mirassol is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mirassol · 1 pts / match - Botafogo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Mirassol · 1.52 goals / match - Botafogo
Mirassol scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
Botafogo scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mirassol
Over / Under - Botafogo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mirassol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mirassol
Botafogo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Mirassol | Liga | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.70 | 2.67 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 60% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 51% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 23% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Mirassol 0 - 2 - 1 Botafogo. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Mirassol and Botafogo play?
Mirassol face Botafogo on 19 September 2026 in Serie A at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Botafogo?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 0, Botafogo won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mirassol vs Botafogo?
Mirassol score 1.15 goals per game on average and Botafogo 1.52. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Mirassol's matches and 70% of Botafogo's.
What form are Mirassol and Botafogo in?
Over the last 5 games Mirassol have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Botafogo 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mirassol vs Botafogo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.