Mirassol vs Fluminense: match statistics
Mirassol vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mirassol play Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 00:00. Venue: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mirassol: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Fluminense: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mirassol scores 1.11 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Fluminense scores 1.53 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mirassol 61%, Fluminense 74%. Over 2.5: Mirassol 56%, Fluminense 53%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.53. Mirassol: 14.0 shots per match, Fluminense: 15.2.
Match halves
Mirassol: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.39. Fluminense: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Mirassol: 31-45+ (7 goals). Fluminense: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Fluminense are the favorites: they sit 3rd and have won 9 matches this season versus Mirassol’s 3 wins; the visitors have scored 27 goals this season while the hosts have 17. Fluminense average 61% possession away compared to Mirassol’s 53% at home and have higher shot efficiency — 10% conversion vs the hosts’ 7% — which gives them a qualitative edge despite a lower shots-per-game volume (13.71 vs 16.88). Both teams are in form: in the last 5 matches Mirassol scored 8 goals and averaged 2.0 points per game, while Fluminense scored 9 goals and averaged 2.2 points per game, yet Mirassol have not kept a clean sheet at home (0%), conceding 1.38 goals on average, whereas Fluminense have a 14% rate of clean sheets away. Mirassol do have higher average xG at home (1.8 vs 1.56 for Fluminense away) and more shots (16.88 vs 13.71), showing they can create chances, but lower efficiency limits their opportunities. Given Fluminense’s higher league position, better conversion (10% vs 7%) and lower share of matches without conceding (14% vs 25%), I back a Fluminense win, although I expect a tight match with a low goal margin.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mirassol | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mirassol is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Mirassol · 1.2 pts / match - Fluminense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Mirassol · 1.53 goals / match - Fluminense
Fluminense is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Mirassol · 1.26 goals / match - Fluminense
Mirassol scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Fluminense scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mirassol
Over / Under — Fluminense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Mirassol · 1.68 pts / match - Fluminense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mirassol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mirassol
Fluminense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Mirassol | Liga | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 58% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 23% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mirassol 1 - 0 - 1 Fluminense. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mirassol vs Fluminense?
The Serie A match finished Mirassol 1:0 Fluminense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Fluminense?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1, Fluminense won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mirassol vs Fluminense?
Mirassol score 1.11 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.53. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Mirassol's matches and 74% of Fluminense's.
What form are Mirassol and Fluminense in?
Over the last 5 games Mirassol have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fluminense 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mirassol vs Fluminense?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.