Brazil - Serie AEstádio José Maria de Campos MaiaData current as of 20 October 2026

Mirassol vs São Paulo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mirassol vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mirassol play São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.

Current form

Mirassol: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. São Paulo: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mirassol scores 1.16 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. São Paulo scores 1.16 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mirassol 65%, São Paulo 55%. Over 2.5: Mirassol 48%, São Paulo 39%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Mirassol has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.48. Mirassol: 13.7 shots per match, São Paulo: 13.5.

Match halves

Mirassol: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.55. São Paulo: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Mirassol: 16-30 (9 goals). São Paulo: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.28)
(3.33)
(3.30)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MirassolSão Paulo
1.16Goals scored / match1.16
MirassolSão Paulo
1.42Goals conceded / match1.13
MirassolSão Paulo
50%Average possession53%
MirassolSão Paulo
4.48Shots on target / match4.13
MirassolSão Paulo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.65Shots per match13.48
MirassolSão Paulo
4.48Shots on target4.13
MirassolSão Paulo
8.5%Shot conversion8.6%
MirassolSão Paulo
50%Possession53%
MirassolSão Paulo
1.5xG for1.48
MirassolSão Paulo
1.57xG against1.3
MirassolSão Paulo

Shooting quality

Mirassol: BalancedSão Paulo: Balanced
MirassolSão Paulo
Accuracy (shots on target)33%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

São Paulo is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Mirassol · 1.8 pts / match - São Paulo

Mirassol
DWDLW
Season result split
29% W29% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-9-13
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
São Paulo
WLLWW
Season result split
39% W19% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-13
1.35 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-10
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

São Paulo is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.42 goals / match - Mirassol · 1.13 goals / match - São Paulo

Mirassol scoring profile: very strong

Mirassol scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).

São Paulo scoring profile: very strong

São Paulo scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 31 matches).

36Goals scored (season)36
MirassolSão Paulo
44Goals conceded (season)35
MirassolSão Paulo
2.58Average goals in match2.29
MirassolSão Paulo
7Goals scored (last 5)5
MirassolSão Paulo
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
MirassolSão Paulo

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal77%
MirassolSão Paulo
42%2 goals32%
MirassolSão Paulo
0%3 goals3%
MirassolSão Paulo
0%4 goals3%
MirassolSão Paulo

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal77%
MirassolSão Paulo
32%2 goals32%
MirassolSão Paulo
13%3 goals3%
MirassolSão Paulo
3%4 goals0%
MirassolSão Paulo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time10%
MirassolSão Paulo
6%BTTS in both halves3%
MirassolSão Paulo
16%Scored in both halves16%
MirassolSão Paulo

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
MirassolSão Paulo
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MirassolSão Paulo
40%BTTS - last 540%
MirassolSão Paulo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
MirassolSão Paulo
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
MirassolSão Paulo
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MirassolSão Paulo

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
MirassolSão Paulo
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
MirassolSão Paulo
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
MirassolSão Paulo

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mirassol - half-time state
29% leading45% draw26% trailing
São Paulo - half-time state
32% leading39% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.32Points per match (1st half)1.35
MirassolSão Paulo
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.48
MirassolSão Paulo
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
MirassolSão Paulo
1.16Average goals (1st half)0.9
MirassolSão Paulo
58%Clean sheet before half-time61%
MirassolSão Paulo
52%No goal before half-time58%
MirassolSão Paulo

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)1.39
MirassolSão Paulo
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
MirassolSão Paulo
0.87Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
MirassolSão Paulo
1.42Average goals (2nd half)1.39
MirassolSão Paulo
35%Clean sheet after half-time45%
MirassolSão Paulo
58%No goal after half-time48%
MirassolSão Paulo

Mirassol - second-half results

19% W35% D45% L
41
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

São Paulo - second-half results

42% W13% D45% L
42
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mirassol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
São Paulo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mirassol
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
9
6
16-30
9
5
31-45
5
4
46-60
5
9
61-75
7
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

São Paulo
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
5
8
31-45
5
12
46-60
11
3
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mirassol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

São Paulo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

MirassolLigaSão Paulo
Average goals in match• 2.582.66▼ 2.29
Both teams scored▲ 65%59%▼ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 48%51%▼ 39%
Clean sheets▼ 10%23%• 23%
Goal before half-time▼ 71%74%▼ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 81%79%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Mirassol 2 - 0 - 1 São Paulo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

São Paulo
1 : 0
Mirassol
Mirassol Futebol Clube
3 : 0
São Paulo FC
São Paulo FC
0 : 2
Mirassol Futebol Clube

FAQ

When do Mirassol and São Paulo play?

Mirassol face São Paulo on 24 October 2026 in Serie A at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and São Paulo?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 2, São Paulo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mirassol vs São Paulo?

Mirassol score 1.16 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.16. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Mirassol's matches and 55% of São Paulo's.

What form are Mirassol and São Paulo in?

Over the last 5 games Mirassol have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and São Paulo 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mirassol vs São Paulo?

The statistical background for Mirassol vs São Paulo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.