Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia: match statistics
Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mito Hollyhock played Machida Zelvia in J1 League (Japan). The match was played on 29 August 2026. Venue: K's denki Stadium Mito. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mito Hollyhock: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Machida Zelvia: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mito Hollyhock scores 1.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Machida Zelvia scores 4.00 and concedes 0.67. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mito Hollyhock 100%, Machida Zelvia 67%. Over 2.5: Mito Hollyhock 67%, Machida Zelvia 100%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Machida Zelvia has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.58. Mito Hollyhock: 16.0 shots per match, Machida Zelvia: 16.0.
Match halves
Mito Hollyhock: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67. Machida Zelvia: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 2.33.
Goals by minute
Mito Hollyhock: 16-30 (2 goals). Machida Zelvia: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Machida Zelvia top the table and remain unbeaten in the league, winning all 3 matches with a 12:2 goal difference, while Mito Hollyhock have managed just 1 win in 3 games. The visitors are in significantly better form: they have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five appearances, scoring 16 goals, whereas the hosts have lost 3 times and scored 5 goals over the same period. Away from home, Machida average 4.5 goals per match and concede just 0.5, while Mito have drawn all of their matches at home so far, scoring and conceding 1 goal each. The visitors’ advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created, with an average xG of 1.88 compared to Mito’s 1.58, while they allow opponents an xG of just 1.01, against 1.90 for the hosts. Machida also register more shots on target away from home, averaging 6.5 compared to 4, which, combined with a 26% shot conversion rate, provides strong grounds for a victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the fact that Mito Hollyhock have seen both teams score in 100% of their matches so far, while Machida Zelvia have recorded this outcome in 80% of their last five games. The hosts have kept no clean sheets, with an average xG conceded of 2.03, which clearly strengthens Machida’s chances of scoring. Machida are in excellent attacking form, averaging 3.2 goals in their last five matches with an xG of 1.79. On the other hand, Mito have scored only 1.0 goal per game during this period, but Machida have conceded an average of 1.0 goal and allowed opponents an xG of 1.36, so a home goal remains likely. The data-based odds are only slightly more pro-BTTS than the league average of 63%, but Mito’s weaker defence and Machida’s scoring consistency give the Goal/Goal scenario an edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have cleared this line in 100% of their matches so far this season. Machida have scored an average of 3.2 goals in their last five matches and won four of them, while Mito have conceded an average of 1.2 goals. The visitors’ attacking potential is further supported by an xG of 1.79, while the hosts allow opponents an average xG of 1.62. Mito have scored just 1.0 goal per game in their last five outings, but Machida allow opponents 1.36 xG, meaning the hosts have a realistic chance of finding the net. The projected total of 3.16 goals also supports Over 2.5, but the 1.5 line offers a clearly safer edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Machida Zelvia have been clearly stronger in their last five matches: they have won 80% of their games and scored an average of 3.2 goals, while Mito Hollyhock recorded only a 20% win rate, 60% defeats, and an average of 1.0 goal. The visitors already look superior before the break, scoring an average of 1.2 goals compared with Mito’s 0.6, while Mito were trailing at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches. Machida’s advantage should increase further after the interval, as they average 2.0 goals in second halves, compared with just 0.4 for Mito. The quality of chances also points to the visitors: their average xG is 1.88, while Mito’s defence allows opponents 2.03 xG, whereas Machida concede only 1.01 xG on average. The most likely scenario is therefore an HT/FT outcome in which Machida take the lead at the break and maintain it until the end of the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mito Hollyhock | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.60 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Machida Zelvia is 126% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / match - Mito Hollyhock · 3 pts / match - Machida Zelvia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Machida Zelvia is 140% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Mito Hollyhock · 4 goals / match - Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Mito Hollyhock · 0.67 goals / match - Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Machida Zelvia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Machida Zelvia scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Mito Hollyhock keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mito Hollyhock
Over / Under - Machida Zelvia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Machida Zelvia is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Mito Hollyhock · 2.33 pts / match - Machida Zelvia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mito Hollyhock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Machida Zelvia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Mito Hollyhock | Liga | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.20 | ▲ 4.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?
The J1 League match finished Mito Hollyhock 1:1 Machida Zelvia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?
Mito Hollyhock score 1.67 goals per game on average and Machida Zelvia 4.00. The J1 League average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Mito Hollyhock's matches and 67% of Machida Zelvia's.
What form are Mito Hollyhock and Machida Zelvia in?
Over the last 5 games Mito Hollyhock have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Machida Zelvia 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.