Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse: match statistics
Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mito Hollyhock played Shimizu S-Pulse in J1 League (Japan). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: K's denki Stadium Mito. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Mito Hollyhock: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Shimizu S-Pulse: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mito Hollyhock scores 1.38 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Shimizu S-Pulse scores 0.75 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mito Hollyhock 75%, Shimizu S-Pulse 38%. Over 2.5: Mito Hollyhock 38%, Shimizu S-Pulse 25%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Shimizu S-Pulse has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.23. Mito Hollyhock: 11.9 shots per match, Shimizu S-Pulse: 10.9.
Match halves
Mito Hollyhock: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63. Shimizu S-Pulse: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Mito Hollyhock: 16-30 (4 goals). Shimizu S-Pulse: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mito Hollyhock have home advantage: they average 1.5 goals per match at home, while Shimizu S-Pulse score just 0.67 away from home. The hosts are more clinical in front of goal, converting 13% of their shots compared with the visitors’ 5%, although Shimizu create slightly better chances, with an away xG of 1.40 versus Mito’s 1.19 at home. Both defences, however, allow opponents plenty of opportunities: opponents average xG of 1.95 and 2.12, respectively. The visitors have the edge in recent form, winning 3 of their last five matches, while Mito have won only once. Despite this, Shimizu have lost 67% of their away matches, leaving the hosts as slight favourites, although Mito’s 50% home draw rate means a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams scored in 40% of Mito’s matches and 33% of Shimizu’s, well below the league average of 60%. The hosts average 0.8 goals per match and the visitors 0.67; moreover, Mito failed to score in 40% of its matches, while Shimizu did so in 33%. Recent attacking form increases the chances of goals at both ends: over their last five matches, the teams averaged 1.6 and 1.4 goals respectively, and Shimizu recorded BTTS - Yes in 60% of those games. Despite this improvement, their season-long scoring records and low BTTS rates point towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in all of Mito’s home matches and 67% of Shimizu’s away matches. Mito average 0.8 goals scored and conceded at home, while Shimizu score 0.67 and concede 1.33 goals per away match. The chance-quality data calls for caution, as the hosts’ average xG is 1.19 and the visitors’ is 1.40, while Shimizu allow opponents chances worth 2.12 xG. Even so, the 2.5-goal line was breached in only 20% of Mito’s and 40% of Shimizu’s last five matches, so the higher line offers a greater margin of safety. With a projected total of 2.2 goals, I estimate an 80% chance of Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Mito were level at the break in 4 of their 5 home matches and failed to score before half-time in all of them. Shimizu also went into half-time level in 3 of their last 5 matches, reinforcing this scenario. After the break, I give the hosts the advantage: they score an average of 0.8 goals in the second half at home, while Shimizu concede an average of 1.0 goals in second halves away and have lost 67% of those halves. Shimizu’s away record, which includes a 67% loss rate, and the high xG of their opponents at 2.12, compared with the hosts’ 1.19 xG, also support a Mito win. The risk to the X/1 pick is Shimizu’s strong overall form: 3 wins in their last 5 matches and an average of 1.4 goals scored after the break during that run.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mito Hollyhock | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shimizu S-Pulse is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mito Hollyhock · 1.4 pts / match - Shimizu S-Pulse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mito Hollyhock is 84% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Mito Hollyhock · 0.75 goals / match - Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Mito Hollyhock · 1 goals / match - Shimizu S-Pulse
Mito Hollyhock scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Shimizu S-Pulse keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Shimizu S-Pulse scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Mito Hollyhock keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mito Hollyhock
Over / Under - Shimizu S-Pulse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mito Hollyhock is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Mito Hollyhock · 1 pts / match - Shimizu S-Pulse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mito Hollyhock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shimizu S-Pulse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mito Hollyhock
Shimizu S-Pulse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Mito Hollyhock | Liga | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 2.92 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 59% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 53% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 87% | • 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
The J1 League match finished Mito Hollyhock 1:2 Shimizu S-Pulse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
Mito Hollyhock score 1.38 goals per game on average and Shimizu S-Pulse 0.75. The J1 League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Mito Hollyhock's matches and 38% of Shimizu S-Pulse's.
What form are Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-Pulse in?
Over the last 5 games Mito Hollyhock have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
The statistical background for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.