Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz: match statistics
Warta Sieradz occupies the second position in the table and presents decidedly better form than Mławianka Mława, who finds themselves in 15th place. The hosts have a mere 20% win rate at home and have conceded as many as 19 goals in 10 home matches, resulting in an average of 1.9 goals conceded per game. The visitors win 56% of their away matches, keeping a clean sheet in 44% of fixtures, and their goal difference on the road stands at +6. Warta Sieradz also boasts better shot efficiency (15% conversion) and greater control of possession (52%). The form of the last five matches also speaks in favor of the guests (2.0 points per match vs 1.2 for the hosts), making them the clear favorite for this meeting.
Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mławianka Mława played Warta Sieradz in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Mławianka Mława: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Warta Sieradz: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mławianka Mława scores 1.47 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Warta Sieradz scores 1.83 and concedes 0.78. League average: 3.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mławianka Mława 79%, Warta Sieradz 56%. Over 2.5: Mławianka Mława 79%, Warta Sieradz 61%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Mławianka Mława has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.45. Mławianka Mława: 9.6 shots per match, Warta Sieradz: 9.9.
Match halves
Mławianka Mława: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 1.21. Warta Sieradz: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.39.
Goals by minute
Mławianka Mława: 76-90+ (11 goals). Warta Sieradz: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.47 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Warta Sieradz occupies the second position in the table and presents decidedly better form than Mławianka Mława, who finds themselves in 15th place. The hosts have a mere 20% win rate at home and have conceded as many as 19 goals in 10 home matches, resulting in an average of 1.9 goals conceded per game. The visitors win 56% of their away matches, keeping a clean sheet in 44% of fixtures, and their goal difference on the road stands at +6. Warta Sieradz also boasts better shot efficiency (15% conversion) and greater control of possession (52%). The form of the last five matches also speaks in favor of the guests (2.0 points per match vs 1.2 for the hosts), making them the clear favorite for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mławianka Mława | Warta Sieradz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Warta Sieradz is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mławianka Mława · 2 pts / match - Warta Sieradz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warta Sieradz is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Mławianka Mława · 1.83 goals / match - Warta Sieradz
Warta Sieradz is 163% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.05 goals / match - Mławianka Mława · 0.78 goals / match - Warta Sieradz
Mławianka Mława scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Warta Sieradz keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
Warta Sieradz scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Mławianka Mława keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mławianka Mława
Over / Under - Warta Sieradz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Warta Sieradz is 111% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / match - Mławianka Mława · 1.33 pts / match - Warta Sieradz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mławianka Mława - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Warta Sieradz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mławianka Mława
Warta Sieradz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Mławianka Mława | Liga | Warta Sieradz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.53 | 3.47 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 66% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 68% | ▼ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 19% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 76% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 86% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Warta SieradzGoalBartłomiej Kręcichwost
- Mławianka MławaGoalMateusz Cegiełka
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mławianka Mława 0 - 0 - 1 Warta Sieradz. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Mławianka Mława 2:3 Warta Sieradz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz?
Mławianka Mława score 1.47 goals per game on average and Warta Sieradz 1.83. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Mławianka Mława's matches and 56% of Warta Sieradz's.
What form are Mławianka Mława and Warta Sieradz in?
Over the last 5 games Mławianka Mława have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Warta Sieradz 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz?
The statistical background for Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.