Modena vs Avellino: match statistics
Modena vs Avellino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Modena played Avellino in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Modena: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Avellino: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Modena scores 2.50 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Avellino scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Modena 50%, Avellino 50%. Over 2.5: Modena 100%, Avellino 100%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Avellino has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.17. Modena: 11.5 shots per match, Avellino: 10.5.
Match halves
Modena: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50. Avellino: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Modena: 31-45+ (2 goals). Avellino: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Modena opened the season with 2 wins from 2 matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding just 1, while Avellino have a record of 1 win and 1 defeat, with a 4:2 goal difference. The hosts are top of the table, whereas the visitors sit in 8th place, confirming Modena’s slightly stronger start to the campaign. In their last five matches, Modena scored 7 goals and conceded 6, while Avellino scored 8 but allowed their opponents to find the net 12 times. The defensive difference is crucial: Avellino lost 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Modena recorded 2 wins over the same period, averaging 1.2 points per game compared with the visitors’ 0.8. Home advantage and the more stable defence support a moderate lean towards a Modena win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for goals from both sides is primarily provided by current form: Avellino have scored an average of 1.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Modena have conceded 1.2 goals per game over the same period. The hosts should also create chances, having averaged 1.4 goals in their last five appearances, while Avellino have allowed opponents as many as 2.4 goals. The chance-quality metrics are similar and sufficient for both teams: average xG stands at 1.10 for Modena and 1.16 for Avellino, with xG conceded at 1.37 and 1.65 respectively. BTTS occurred in 40% of Modena’s recent matches and 60% of Avellino’s, while the league average of 70% provides additional support for the Goal/Goal outcome. Uncertainty is increased by the lack of reliable away data for Avellino across the entire season, but the visitors’ poor recent defensive record makes BTTS more likely than a No Goal outcome for one of the sides.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last five matches, Modena averaged 1.4 goals scored, while Avellino conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game, clearly supporting the hosts’ scoring potential. The visitors averaged 1.6 goals scored during this period, while Modena conceded 1.2, so their contribution to the final score is also realistic. Matches featuring at least three goals occurred in 60% of Modena’s last five games and in 80% of Avellino’s matches, compared with a league average of 2.65 goals. At the same time, the estimated xG for both teams stands at around 1.10-1.16 per match, making Over 1.5 the most reliable choice rather than the more demanding Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Modena have a clear signal from their home matches: in both games played so far, they were leading at the break, scoring an average of 1.5 goals before half-time and conceding none. The hosts average 2.0 goals per home game, while their 5.5 shots on target per match indicate a genuine ability to impose the tempo from the outset. Avellino have conceded an average of 2.4 goals over their last five matches, earning just 0.8 points per game and suffering defeat in 60% of them, which strengthens Modena’s advantage in the final outcome. However, the visitors have managed to take the lead at half-time in 50% of their recent matches, so turnaround scenarios involving Modena remain significant. The strongest single HT/FT outcome remains a Modena win both at half-time and at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Modena | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.71 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Modena is 100% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Modena · 1.5 pts / match - Avellino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - Modena · 2 goals / match - Avellino
Modena is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Modena · 1 goals / match - Avellino
Modena scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Avellino scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Modena
Over / Under - Avellino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avellino is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Modena · 3 pts / match - Avellino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Modena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Avellino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Modena
Avellino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Modena | Liga | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.48 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 52% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 20% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Modena 0 - 1 - 1 Avellino. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Modena vs Avellino?
The Serie B match finished Modena 0:1 Avellino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Avellino?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Modena won 0, Avellino won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Avellino?
Modena score 2.50 goals per game on average and Avellino 2.00. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Modena's matches and 50% of Avellino's.
What form are Modena and Avellino in?
Over the last 5 games Modena have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Avellino 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Avellino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.