Modena vs Frosinone: match statistics
Modena vs Frosinone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Modena play Frosinone in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Modena: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Frosinone: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Modena scores 1.26 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Frosinone scores 2.00 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Modena 49%, Frosinone 55%. Over 2.5: Modena 49%, Frosinone 61%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Frosinone has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.65. Modena: 15.2 shots per match, Frosinone: 17.2.
Match halves
Modena: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69. Frosinone: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Modena: 76-90+ (11 goals). Frosinone: 46-60 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Frosinone is the favorite in this match: they sit 2nd in the table with 19 wins this season versus Modena’s 14, and have scored 65 goals while conceding 33, whereas Modena have 46 scored and 31 conceded. In their last 5 games Frosinone are unbeaten (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 10 goals and averaging 2.2 points per game, while Modena in their last 5 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, 9 goals and 1.6 points per game. At home Modena average 1.47 goals scored, 0.82 conceded and have xG 1.61 with xG against 0.99 and 4.82 shots on target; Frosinone away score 1.82, concede 1.06 and have xG 1.67 with xG against 1.68 and 5.35 shots on target and a higher conversion rate 12% vs Modena’s 10%. Key advantages for the visitors are superior offensive efficiency (65 goals on the season and 12% conversion) and a very low away loss rate (6% vs Modena’s 29% home loss rate), while Modena’s main strength is a solid home defence (0.82 goals conceded on average and 47% clean sheets). Considering these figures, my model assigns a 55% probability to a Frosinone win, 25% to a draw and 20% to a Modena win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Modena | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Frosinone is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Modena · 2.6 pts / match - Frosinone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Frosinone is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Modena · 2 goals / match - Frosinone
Frosinone is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Modena · 0.89 goals / match - Frosinone
Modena scores in 72% of matches (28 of 39 matches), while Frosinone keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
Frosinone scores in 92% of matches (35 of 38 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Modena
Over / Under — Frosinone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Frosinone is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Modena · 1.87 pts / match - Frosinone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Modena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Frosinone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +9 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Modena
Frosinone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Modena | Liga | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 49% | 48% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Modena 0 - 1 - 0 Frosinone. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Modena vs Frosinone?
The Serie B match finished Modena 1:2 Frosinone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Frosinone?
Modena score 1.26 goals per game on average and Frosinone 2.00. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Modena's matches and 55% of Frosinone's.
What form are Modena and Frosinone in?
Over the last 5 games Modena have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Frosinone 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Frosinone?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.